Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Flint Town United played Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 26 December 2025. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Flint Town United: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Connah's Quay: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Flint Town United scores 1.68 and concedes 2.16 goals per match. Connah's Quay scores 2.11 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.14 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Flint Town United 63%, Connah's Quay 61%. Over 2.5: Flint Town United 74%, Connah's Quay 78%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.65. Flint Town United: 12.9 shots per match, Connah's Quay: 13.7.

Match halves

Flint Town United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63. Connah's Quay: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.28.

Goals by minute

Flint Town United: 16-30 (9 goals). Connah's Quay: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
9Shots23
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
2Shots on target10
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.22xG2.78
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
2Corners4
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
70Dangerous attacks89
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
11Fouls6
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
3Cards1
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.68Goals scored / match2.11
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
2.16Goals conceded / match1.17
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
51%Average possession59%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
4.84Shots on target / match5.78
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.89Shots per match13.67
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
4.84Shots on target5.78
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
13.1%Shot conversion15.4%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
51%Possession59%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.65xG for1.81
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.7xG against1.08
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Shooting quality

Flint Town United: Efficient finishingConnah's Quay: Efficient finishing
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
Accuracy (shots on target)38%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Connah's Quay is 275% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Flint Town United · 3 pts / match - Connah's Quay

Flint Town United
DLDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
21% W32% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-9
0.95 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-4
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Connah's Quay
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
61% W22% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-4-3
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-1
Last 5 away
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connah's Quay is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.68 goals / match - Flint Town United · 2.11 goals / match - Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.16 goals / match - Flint Town United · 1.17 goals / match - Connah's Quay

Flint Town United scoring profile: strong

Flint Town United scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).

Connah's Quay scoring profile: very strong

Connah's Quay scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Flint Town United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).

32Goals scored (season)38
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
41Goals conceded (season)21
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
3.84Average goals in match3.28
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
5Goals scored (last 5)15
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal89%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
53%2 goals61%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
21%3 goals50%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
16%4 goals11%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal67%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
58%2 goals33%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
42%3 goals17%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
26%4 goals0%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
Flint Town United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 19 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

42%BTTS at half-time28%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
16%BTTS in both halves6%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
37%Scored in both halves50%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS28%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
60%BTTS - last 560%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
68%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
47%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Flint Town United · 1.61 pts / match - Connah's Quay

Flint Town United - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing
Connah's Quay - half-time state
39% leading44% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.61
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.05Goals scored (1st half)0.83
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0.95Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
2Average goals (1st half)1.39
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
32%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
37%No goal before half-time39%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

After half-time (2nd half)

1.05Points per match (2nd half)1.89
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)1.28
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.21Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
1.84Average goals (2nd half)1.89
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
47%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay
53%No goal after half-time22%
Flint Town UnitedConnah's Quay

Flint Town United - second-half results

26% W26% D47% L
23
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Connah's Quay - second-half results

56% W22% D22% L
29
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Flint Town United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Connah's Quay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.60
Goals scored / match1.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+5+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Flint Town United
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
9
5
16-30
6
6
31-45
2
8
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Connah's Quay
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
4
3
31-45
7
3
46-60
8
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Flint Town United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.73
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.94
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Flint Town UnitedLigaConnah's Quay
Average goals in match 3.843.14 3.28
Both teams scored 63%52% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 74%59% 78%
Clean sheets 21%28% 33%
Goal before half-time 89%77% 78%
Goal after half-time 74%74% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.14
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Flint Town UnitedYellow cardJack Flint
  2. Connah's QuayGoalRhys Hughes
  3. Flint Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Michael BurkeOff: Daniel Davies
  4. Connah's QuayYellow cardHarry Franklin
  5. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Declan PooleOff: Abdulrahman Sharif
  6. Flint Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Joshua JonesOff: Elliott Reeves
  7. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Dan RobertsOff: Jacob Cook
  8. Flint Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Cameron FergusonOff: Ben Wynne
  9. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Zeli IsmailOff: Marco Fregapane
  10. Connah's QuayGoalHarry Franklin
  11. Flint Town UnitedYellow cardHarry Owen
  12. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Max WoodcockOff: Harry Franklin
  13. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Jason OswellOff: Rhys Hughes
  14. Flint Town UnitedYellow cardJake Canavan

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Flint Town United 0 - 0 - 1 Connah's Quay. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Connah's Quay Nomads FC
3 : 2
Flint Town United FC

FAQ

What was the result of Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Flint Town United 0:2 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay?

Flint Town United score 1.68 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.11. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Flint Town United's matches and 61% of Connah's Quay's.

What form are Flint Town United and Connah's Quay in?

Over the last 5 games Flint Town United have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Connah's Quay 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay?

The statistical background for Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.