Floriana vs Marsaxlokk: match statistics
Floriana vs Marsaxlokk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Floriana played Marsaxlokk in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Floriana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Marsaxlokk: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Floriana scores 1.55 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Marsaxlokk scores 1.30 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Floriana 48%, Marsaxlokk 61%. Over 2.5: Floriana 45%, Marsaxlokk 52%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Marsaxlokk has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.13. Floriana: 7.6 shots per match, Marsaxlokk: 7.9.
Match halves
Floriana: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.70. Marsaxlokk: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Floriana: 16-30 (12 goals). Marsaxlokk: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Floriana are the favorites: at home they average 1.61 goals per game and have a shot-conversion rate of 20% versus 13% for the visitors on the road, reflecting superior chance conversion. This season Floriana have 21 wins and 51 goals, while Marsaxlokk have 16 wins and 43 goals; additionally Floriana have a home goal difference of +9, whereas the visitors are at -1 away. In the last 5 matches Floriana recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2.0 points per game), while Marsaxlokk have 3 wins and 2 losses with an 8-8 goal record and 1.8 points per game. Defensively the teams are comparable — Floriana concede 1.11 goals at home versus 1.13 conceded by Marsaxlokk away — but the visitors are more often shut out (33% of matches without scoring versus 22% for Floriana at home). Considering the higher attacking efficiency of the hosts, superior home record and more stable recent point production, I forecast a Floriana win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Floriana have BTTS in 72% of their matches this season, Marsaxlokk in 47%, and the league average is 51%, which already favors a Goal/Goal scenario. In the last 5 matches Marsaxlokk recorded BTTS in 80% of games (4/5), while Floriana only in 40% (2/5), but over the season Floriana scored 51 and conceded 27, and Marsaxlokk scored 43 and conceded 38, so both teams display offensive potential and defensive vulnerability. Season xG are similar: 1.12 for Floriana versus 1.16 for Marsaxlokk, while Floriana has higher shot conversion 19% vs 13% and averages 4.0 shots on target vs 3.6, increasing the likelihood of converting created chances. In the last 5 matches Marsaxlokk scored 8 goals (1.6 per game) and conceded 8 (1.6), and Floriana scored 7 (1.4) and conceded 5 (1.0), which together with Floriana’s seasonal inclination to BTTS leans me towards the 'Yes' outcome. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 62% for 'yes' and 38% for 'no' and choose 'yes' as the most likely scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Floriana averages 1.50 goals per match, Marsaxlokk 1.07, with average xG of 1.12 (Floriana) and 1.16 (Marsaxlokk); both teams concede xG around 1.05–1.07, which supports a baseline of ~2 goals in the game. Floriana’s shot conversion is 19% on 7.83 shots (≈1.49 goals from this metric), Marsaxlokk 13% on 8.0 shots (≈1.04 goals), so the averaged estimate is about 1.35 for Floriana and 1.15 for Marsaxlokk (total 2.50). Season percentages of matches over 1.5 goals are 83% (Floriana) and 67% (Marsaxlokk), hence a strong probability for Over 1.5 (~82%). For the 2.5 line seasonal rates are 56% and 47%, yielding a moderate signal for Over 2.5 (~54%), while Over 3.5 is only 22% and 20% seasonally (≈21%). The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 — Floriana leads at the break and ultimately wins. The hosts led at half-time in 7 matches (39%) and average 0.78 goals in the first half versus 0.47 for Marsaxlokk; additionally Floriana scored 5 goals in minutes 0–15 while the visitors scored only 1, indicating a strong start from the home side. Over a full match Floriana averages 1.5 goals per game this season vs 1.07 for Marsaxlokk and win 56% of home fixtures compared to the visitors’ 40% win rate, and they concede on average 0.5 goals by half-time vs 0.67 for the opponent — this suggests the first-half lead can be maintained. Although xG is similar (1.12 for Floriana vs 1.16 for Marsaxlokk), the hosts convert chances more efficiently (conversion rate 19% vs 13%), so despite comparable xG Floriana have a more effective attack. Considering these figures (23 Floriana goals by half-time vs 17 for Marsaxlokk and season BTTS 72% for the hosts vs 47% for the visitors), the strongest signal is 1/1; alternatives such as X/1 or X/X are possible but less supported by the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Floriana | Marsaxlokk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Floriana is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Floriana · 1.8 pts / match - Marsaxlokk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Floriana is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Floriana · 1.3 goals / match - Marsaxlokk
Floriana is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Floriana · 1.15 goals / match - Marsaxlokk
Floriana scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Marsaxlokk keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Marsaxlokk scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Floriana keeps a clean sheet in 45% (15 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Floriana
Over / Under - Marsaxlokk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Floriana is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.94 pts / match - Floriana · 1.36 pts / match - Marsaxlokk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Floriana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Marsaxlokk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Floriana | Liga | Marsaxlokk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.51 | • 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 44% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Floriana 3 - 1 - 0 Marsaxlokk. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Floriana 2:1 Marsaxlokk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Floriana and Marsaxlokk?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Floriana won 3, Marsaxlokk won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
Floriana score 1.55 goals per game on average and Marsaxlokk 1.30. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Floriana's matches and 61% of Marsaxlokk's.
What form are Floriana and Marsaxlokk in?
Over the last 5 games Floriana have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Marsaxlokk 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Floriana vs Marsaxlokk?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.