Floridsdorfer AC vs Liefering: match statistics

Liefering sit 4th, three places above Floridsdorfer AC, and have scored 14 goals in six league matches compared with their opponents’ 9. Away from home, the visitors average 3 goals per game, 12 shots and 6.67 shots on target, while the hosts record 1.67 goals, 9 shots and 6 shots on target at home. Liefering’s attacking edge is also reflected in the xG figures: 1.64 away from home versus Floridsdorfer AC’s 1.31 at home, while the visitors’ shot conversion rate stands at 25%, compared with 19% for the hosts. However, Floridsdorfer AC have a more solid defensive record at home, conceding just 0.67 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of games, so this could be a closely fought contest. Although both teams have won 2 of their last 5 matches, Liefering’s greater goalscoring potential points to a narrow victory.

Seasonal data clearly support goals from both sides: Floridsdorfer AC have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches, while Liefering have done so in 67%, compared with the league average of 52%. The hosts have kept no clean sheets, conceding an average of 2.33 goals, while Liefering score an average of 3.00 goals per match and produce 6.67 shots on target. Liefering also support a scenario in which the opposition scores, having conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches, with a high average xG against of 2.14. The hosts’ recent run is a weaker argument for BTTS, with BTTS landing in only 20% of their matches, but their xG of 1.33 and the absence of any clean sheets this season still provide a solid basis for goals from both teams. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is the most likely outcome, although the main risk lies in Floridsdorfer AC’s inconsistent finishing over the short, five-match sample.

Both teams have recorded at least 2 goals in every league match: Floridsdorfer AC and Liefering have each registered 100% of games above the 1.5 and 2.5 lines. The hosts concede an average of 2.33 goals, while their defensive xG stands at as high as 2.37, which favors Liefering, who score an average of 3.00 goals per match. The visitors average 6.67 shots on target compared with 4.00 for their opponents, and their shot conversion rate is 25%, versus 17% for Floridsdorfer AC. In their last five matches, Liefering scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 2.2, so the forecast of 3.10 goals remains justified despite the hosts' more conservative results. Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, as it combines full confirmation in both teams' results to date with the hosts' clear defensive weaknesses.

Liefering have a clearly superior season record: they score an average of 3.00 goals per match and win 67% of their games, while Floridsdorfer AC concede 2.33 goals per match and have lost 67% of their outings. The visitors are more likely to take the lead at the break, having done so in 2 of their 3 matches, whereas the hosts were ahead at half-time only once. Liefering’s advantage is also evident in chance creation: they average 6.67 shots on target compared with their opponents’ 4.00, alongside an xG of 1.64 versus 1.24. After the break, the visitors score an average of 1.67 goals and have won the second half in 67% of their matches, while the hosts concede 1.67 goals during that period, reinforcing the HT/FT scenario of Liefering leading at half-time and maintaining that advantage through to full-time.