Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września: match statistics
Flota Świnoujście display decidedly better home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive +6 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per home match while conceding just 0.67, providing a solid foundation for their advantage. Victoria Września have disastrous away results - a 78% loss rate, only 22% wins, and a negative -6 goal difference, with a very low average of 0.44 goals scored per away fixture. Additionally, the visitors struggle to keep a clean sheet (only 22% CS%), and their shot conversion rate stands at a mere 6% compared to the hosts' 14%. The recent form of both teams (Flota: dldwl vs Victoria: lwdll) and a significant difference in xG (1.42 vs 1.14 for the visitors) further support a home win scenario.
Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Flota Świnoujście played Victoria Września in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Flota Świnoujście: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Victoria Września: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Flota Świnoujście scores 1.40 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Victoria Września scores 1.05 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Flota Świnoujście 50%, Victoria Września 43%. Over 2.5: Flota Świnoujście 45%, Victoria Września 48%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Flota Świnoujście has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.18. Flota Świnoujście: 5.9 shots per match, Victoria Września: 3.0.
Match halves
Flota Świnoujście: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.90. Victoria Września: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Flota Świnoujście: 61-75 (8 goals). Victoria Września: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Flota Świnoujście display decidedly better home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive +6 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per home match while conceding just 0.67, providing a solid foundation for their advantage. Victoria Września have disastrous away results - a 78% loss rate, only 22% wins, and a negative -6 goal difference, with a very low average of 0.44 goals scored per away fixture. Additionally, the visitors struggle to keep a clean sheet (only 22% CS%), and their shot conversion rate stands at a mere 6% compared to the hosts' 14%. The recent form of both teams (Flota: dldwl vs Victoria: lwdll) and a significant difference in xG (1.42 vs 1.14 for the visitors) further support a home win scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Flota Świnoujście | Victoria Września | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 11% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.39 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.62 | 3.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Victoria Września is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Flota Świnoujście · 1.4 pts / match - Victoria Września
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flota Świnoujście is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Flota Świnoujście · 1.05 goals / match - Victoria Września
Flota Świnoujście is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Flota Świnoujście · 1.43 goals / match - Victoria Września
Flota Świnoujście scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Victoria Września keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Victoria Września scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Flota Świnoujście keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Flota Świnoujście
Over / Under - Victoria Września
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Victoria Września is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Flota Świnoujście · 1.24 pts / match - Victoria Września
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Flota Świnoujście - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Victoria Września - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Flota Świnoujście
Victoria Września
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Flota Świnoujście | Liga | Victoria Września | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.55 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Flota Świnoujście 1 - 0 - 0 Victoria Września. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Flota Świnoujście 2:1 Victoria Września. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września?
Flota Świnoujście score 1.40 goals per game on average and Victoria Września 1.05. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Flota Świnoujście's matches and 43% of Victoria Września's.
What form are Flota Świnoujście and Victoria Września in?
Over the last 5 games Flota Świnoujście have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Victoria Września 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września?
The statistical background for Flota Świnoujście vs Victoria Września — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.