Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Fluminense demonstrates impressive home form with a 100% win rate in home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1. The hosts boast significantly better offensive statistics in home games (xG 1.76) and defensive statistics (xG Against 0.79) compared to Atlético Mineiro's away capabilities. The visitors have failed to win any of their three away matches this season, displaying poor scoring efficiency (0.33 goals per game) and a high loss rate (100% losses). The disparity in possession (59% vs 52%), shots on target (7 vs 2.33), and chance conversion (14% vs 3%) clearly favors the hosts. Fluminense's positive goal difference (+3) in home matches contrasted with Atlético's negative away goal difference (-4) further confirms the home advantage.
Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fluminense play Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Fluminense: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fluminense scores 1.53 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.21 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fluminense 74%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 53%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.45. Fluminense: 15.2 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 13.6.
Match halves
Fluminense: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.79. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Fluminense: 76-90+ (8 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Fluminense demonstrates impressive home form with a 100% win rate in home matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1. The hosts boast significantly better offensive statistics in home games (xG 1.76) and defensive statistics (xG Against 0.79) compared to Atlético Mineiro's away capabilities. The visitors have failed to win any of their three away matches this season, displaying poor scoring efficiency (0.33 goals per game) and a high loss rate (100% losses). The disparity in possession (59% vs 52%), shots on target (7 vs 2.33), and chance conversion (14% vs 3%) clearly favors the hosts. Fluminense's positive goal difference (+3) in home matches contrasted with Atlético's negative away goal difference (-4) further confirms the home advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Mineiro is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.21 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Fluminense scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fluminense
Over / Under — Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.47 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fluminense
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.79 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 58% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fluminense 1 - 0 - 1 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Fluminense 1:0 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1, Atlético Mineiro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro?
Fluminense score 1.53 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.21. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Fluminense's matches and 42% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Fluminense and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.