Fluminense vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fluminense played Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Fluminense: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Bahia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fluminense scores 1.30 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Bahia scores 1.35 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fluminense 41%, Bahia 51%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 41%, Bahia 51%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Bahia has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.35. Fluminense: 12.3 shots per match, Bahia: 13.9.

Match halves

Fluminense: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. Bahia: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Fluminense: 76-90+ (14 goals). Bahia: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
FluminenseBahia
12Shots14
FluminenseBahia
5Shots on target5
FluminenseBahia
1.32xG1.56
FluminenseBahia
5Corners4
FluminenseBahia
29Dangerous attacks45
FluminenseBahia
12Fouls22
FluminenseBahia
2Cards3
FluminenseBahia

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.3Goals scored / match1.35
FluminenseBahia
1.05Goals conceded / match1.19
FluminenseBahia
53%Average possession55%
FluminenseBahia
3.97Shots on target / match4.7
FluminenseBahia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.3Shots per match13.92
FluminenseBahia
3.97Shots on target4.7
FluminenseBahia
10.5%Shot conversion9.7%
FluminenseBahia
53%Possession55%
FluminenseBahia
1.35xG for1.54
FluminenseBahia
1.17xG against1.38
FluminenseBahia

Shooting quality

Fluminense: BalancedBahia: Balanced
FluminenseBahia
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fluminense is 38% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.6 pts / match - Bahia

Fluminense
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
49% W19% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-7-12
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
14-1-3
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Bahia
DLWDW
Season result split
46% W24% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-9-11
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-9
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fluminense is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.05 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.19 goals / match - Bahia

Fluminense scoring profile: strong

Fluminense scores in 73% of matches (27 of 37 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (13 of 37 matches).

Bahia scoring profile: strong

Bahia scores in 84% of matches (31 of 37 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 41% (15 of 37 matches).

48Goals scored (season)50
FluminenseBahia
39Goals conceded (season)44
FluminenseBahia
2.35Average goals in match2.54
FluminenseBahia
10Goals scored (last 5)8
FluminenseBahia
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
FluminenseBahia

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal84%
FluminenseBahia
41%2 goals38%
FluminenseBahia
8%3 goals11%
FluminenseBahia
3%4 goals3%
FluminenseBahia

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal65%
FluminenseBahia
32%2 goals32%
FluminenseBahia
11%3 goals16%
FluminenseBahia
3%4 goals3%
FluminenseBahia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time16%
FluminenseBahia
5%BTTS in both halves3%
FluminenseBahia
27%Scored in both halves22%
FluminenseBahia

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
FluminenseBahia
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
FluminenseBahia
40%BTTS - last 560%
FluminenseBahia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
FluminenseBahia
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
FluminenseBahia
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
FluminenseBahia

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
FluminenseBahia
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
FluminenseBahia
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
FluminenseBahia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fluminense - half-time state
35% leading38% draw27% trailing
Bahia - half-time state
35% leading38% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)1.43
FluminenseBahia
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.57
FluminenseBahia
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
FluminenseBahia
0.97Average goals (1st half)1.11
FluminenseBahia
68%Clean sheet before half-time57%
FluminenseBahia
54%No goal before half-time54%
FluminenseBahia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.59
FluminenseBahia
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
FluminenseBahia
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
FluminenseBahia
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.43
FluminenseBahia
51%Clean sheet after half-time57%
FluminenseBahia
46%No goal after half-time41%
FluminenseBahia

Fluminense - second-half results

30% W41% R30% P
53
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bahia - second-half results

43% W30% R27% P
53
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fluminense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
10
6
31-45
7
5
46-60
7
5
61-75
14
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
10
16-30
11
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
7
8
61-75
13
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+145%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

FluminenseLigaBahia
Average goals in match 2.352.50 2.54
Both teams scored 41%47% 51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%46% 51%
Clean sheets 41%30% 35%
Goal before half-time 68%70% 73%
Goal after half-time 76%75% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FluminenseYellow cardGustavo Nonato Santana
  2. FluminenseYellow cardSamuel Xavier Brito
  3. BahiaYellow cardErick da Costa Farias
  4. FluminenseSubstitutionOn: Facundo Bernal CruzOff: Matheus Martinelli
  5. BahiaYellow cardRodrigo Nestor Bertalia

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Matheus Delgado CandançanMatches officiated: 17
4.06Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 253%Home wins28%Draws18%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Fluminense 0 - 1 - 0 Bahia. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

EC Bahia
3 : 3
Fluminense FC

FAQ

What was the result of Fluminense vs Bahia?

The Serie A match finished Fluminense 2:0 Bahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Bahia?

Fluminense score 1.30 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.35. The Serie A average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Fluminense's matches and 51% of Bahia's.

What form are Fluminense and Bahia in?

Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bahia 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Bahia?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.