Fluminense vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fluminense play Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 7 December 2025 at 20:00. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Fluminense: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bahia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fluminense scores 1.32 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Bahia scores 1.32 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fluminense 39%, Bahia 50%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 39%, Bahia 50%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Bahia has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.35. Fluminense: 12.3 shots per match, Bahia: 13.9.

Match halves

Fluminense: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.79. Bahia: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Fluminense: 76-90+ (15 goals). Bahia: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
FluminenseBahia
12Shots14
FluminenseBahia
5Shots on target5
FluminenseBahia
1.32xG1.56
FluminenseBahia
5Corners4
FluminenseBahia
29Dangerous attacks45
FluminenseBahia
12Fouls22
FluminenseBahia
2Cards3
FluminenseBahia

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.32Goals scored / match1.32
FluminenseBahia
1.03Goals conceded / match1.21
FluminenseBahia
53%Average possession55%
FluminenseBahia
4Shots on target / match4.71
FluminenseBahia

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.29Shots per match13.92
FluminenseBahia
4Shots on target4.71
FluminenseBahia
10.7%Shot conversion9.5%
FluminenseBahia
53%Possession55%
FluminenseBahia
1.35xG for1.54
FluminenseBahia
1.18xG against1.38
FluminenseBahia

Shooting quality

Fluminense: BalancedBahia: Balanced
FluminenseBahia
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fluminense is 86% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.4 pts / match - Bahia

Fluminense
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W18% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-7-12
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-1-3
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Bahia
LWDWL
Season result split
45% W24% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-9-12
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-10
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fluminense is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.03 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.21 goals / match - Bahia

Fluminense scoring profile: strong

Fluminense scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

Bahia scoring profile: strong

Bahia scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

50Goals scored (season)50
FluminenseBahia
39Goals conceded (season)46
FluminenseBahia
2.34Average goals in match2.53
FluminenseBahia
12Goals scored (last 5)6
FluminenseBahia
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
FluminenseBahia

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal82%
FluminenseBahia
42%2 goals37%
FluminenseBahia
8%3 goals11%
FluminenseBahia
3%4 goals3%
FluminenseBahia

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal66%
FluminenseBahia
32%2 goals34%
FluminenseBahia
11%3 goals16%
FluminenseBahia
3%4 goals3%
FluminenseBahia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time16%
FluminenseBahia
5%BTTS in both halves3%
FluminenseBahia
26%Scored in both halves21%
FluminenseBahia

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
FluminenseBahia
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
FluminenseBahia
40%BTTS - last 540%
FluminenseBahia

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
FluminenseBahia
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
FluminenseBahia
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
FluminenseBahia

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
FluminenseBahia
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
FluminenseBahia
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
FluminenseBahia

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fluminense - half-time state
34% leading39% draw26% trailing
Bahia - half-time state
34% leading39% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1.42
FluminenseBahia
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.55
FluminenseBahia
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
FluminenseBahia
0.95Average goals (1st half)1.08
FluminenseBahia
68%Clean sheet before half-time58%
FluminenseBahia
55%No goal before half-time55%
FluminenseBahia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.34Points per match (2nd half)1.55
FluminenseBahia
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
FluminenseBahia
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
FluminenseBahia
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.45
FluminenseBahia
53%Clean sheet after half-time55%
FluminenseBahia
45%No goal after half-time42%
FluminenseBahia

Fluminense - second-half results

32% W39% R29% P
54
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bahia - second-half results

42% W29% R29% P
54
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fluminense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+6+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
10
6
31-45
7
5
46-60
8
5
61-75
15
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
10
16-30
11
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
7
9
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.92
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

FluminenseLigaBahia
Average goals in match 2.342.52 2.53
Both teams scored 39%47% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%46% 50%
Clean sheets 42%30% 34%
Goal before half-time 66%70% 71%
Goal after half-time 76%76% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Fluminense 0 - 2 - 0 Bahia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Bahia
1 : 1
Fluminense
EC Bahia
3 : 3
Fluminense FC

FAQ

What was the result of Fluminense vs Bahia?

The Serie A match finished Fluminense 2:0 Bahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Bahia?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 0, Bahia won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Bahia?

Fluminense score 1.32 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.32. The Serie A average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Fluminense's matches and 50% of Bahia's.

What form are Fluminense and Bahia in?

Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bahia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Bahia?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.