Fluminense vs Botafogo: match statistics
Fluminense displays a clear advantage as the host with 100% efficiency in home matches and an impressive streak of five matches without defeat (4 wins, 1 draw). Botafogo, on the other hand, shows serious problems as the visitor, losing all away matches this season and conceding an average of as many as 5 goals per match. Additionally, the difference in xG confirms the hosts' advantage—Fluminense generates 1.3 xG in home matches, while Botafogo only 0.98 away. The form of the last five matches also favors the hosts (2.6 points per match vs 1.2 for Botafogo). Nevertheless, Botafogo is capable of scoring goals (averaging 3 per away match), which makes a draw or a surprise possible scenarios, albeit less likely.
Fluminense vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fluminense played Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 12 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Fluminense: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Botafogo: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fluminense scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Botafogo scores 3.50 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fluminense 100%, Botafogo 50%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 50%, Botafogo 100%. League level: BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.08. Fluminense: 11.5 shots per match, Botafogo: 9.5.
Match halves
Fluminense: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Botafogo: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.50.
Goals by minute
Fluminense: 46-60 (2 goals). Botafogo: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fluminense displays a clear advantage as the host with 100% efficiency in home matches and an impressive streak of five matches without defeat (4 wins, 1 draw). Botafogo, on the other hand, shows serious problems as the visitor, losing all away matches this season and conceding an average of as many as 5 goals per match. Additionally, the difference in xG confirms the hosts' advantage—Fluminense generates 1.3 xG in home matches, while Botafogo only 0.98 away. The form of the last five matches also favors the hosts (2.6 points per match vs 1.2 for Botafogo). Nevertheless, Botafogo is capable of scoring goals (averaging 3 per away match), which makes a draw or a surprise possible scenarios, albeit less likely.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.78 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fluminense is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.5 pts / match - Botafogo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 133% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Fluminense · 3.5 goals / match - Botafogo
Fluminense is 150% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Fluminense · 2.5 goals / match - Botafogo
Fluminense scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Botafogo scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fluminense
Over / Under - Botafogo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fluminense
Botafogo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.27 | ▲ 6.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 13% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 77% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fluminense 1 - 0 - 1 Botafogo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fluminense vs Botafogo?
The Serie A match finished Fluminense 1:0 Botafogo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Botafogo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1, Botafogo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Botafogo?
Fluminense score 1.50 goals per game on average and Botafogo 3.50. The Serie A average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Fluminense's matches and 50% of Botafogo's.
What form are Fluminense and Botafogo in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Botafogo 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Botafogo?
The statistical background for Fluminense vs Botafogo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.