Fluminense vs Corinthians: match statistics
Fluminense vs Corinthians: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fluminense played Corinthians in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 2 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Fluminense: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Corinthians: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fluminense scores 1.63 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Corinthians scores 0.88 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fluminense 63%, Corinthians 50%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 50%, Corinthians 13%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.08. Fluminense: 14.8 shots per match, Corinthians: 10.6.
Match halves
Fluminense: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.75. Corinthians: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Fluminense: 46-60 (4 goals). Corinthians: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fluminense is the favorite in this matchup: at home they have a 100% win rate, score an average of 1.75 goals per game and record an xG of 1.65 with 6.25 SOT per match, which indicates a strong attacking profile at the stadium. Corinthians perform worse away — averaging 0.75 goals per game, xG 0.87 and only 2.75 SOT; in their last 5 away matches the visitors scored a total of 2 goals and failed to win (0-3-2). Defensively Fluminense concede 0.75 goals at home with an xG against of 0.96, while Corinthians formally concede 0.5 goals away but have an xG against of 1.3, suggesting the visitors concede fewer goals than their xG against would imply. Form confirms the hosts’ advantage: Fluminense scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches and average 2 points per game in that period, whereas Corinthians have 2 goals and average 0.6 points per game. Considering the superiority in chance creation (6.25 vs 2.75 SOT), higher offensive xG (1.65 vs 0.87) and the fact Fluminense have not had a goalless home game (0% vs 25% for Corinthians), I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor the "no" scenario: Corinthians have averaged only 0.4 goals in the last 5 matches (2 goals in 5) and have 7 goals this season (0.75 per match), while Fluminense have 13 goals this season (1.0 per match) and 1.6 goals in the last 5. The visitors keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches this season, whereas Fluminense keep a clean sheet in only 25% of matches, giving Corinthians a clear defensive edge. Fluminense create more chances (xG 1.28 at home, 13.5 shots and 3.25 shots on target on average) against a team that concedes xG 1.3 and only 7.75 shots per match; additionally Corinthians have xG_for 1.21 in the last 5 matches but only 0.4 goals, indicating a finishing problem. Season BTTS rates are neutral (50% for both teams) and the league BTTS is 56%, but the last 5 matches for both teams show BTTS at only 40%, which lowers the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering the low away goals average of 0.4 in the last 5 matches, Corinthians' 50% clean sheets and Fluminense's creation advantage (xG and shot volume), I assign 35% to "yes" and 65% to "no" and recommend: no.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Model based on average xG — Fluminense generates 1.28 xG while Corinthians concedes on average 1.3 xG — the model predicts 1.29 goals for Fluminense and 0.89 for Corinthians, totaling 2.18 goals, which is above the 1.5 threshold. Fluminense averages 13.5 shots and 3.25 on target per match and has 100% of matches this season with over 1.5 goals; Corinthians averages 7.75 shots and has 50% of matches with over 1.5, which strengthens the signal for Over 1.5 and I assign it approximately a 72% probability. The chance for Over 2.5 is moderate: seasonally only 25% of Fluminense’s matches and 0% of Corinthians’ matches finished with three or more goals, and the xG model gives a total of 2.18, so I rate Over 2.5 at about 40%. Over 3.5 is unlikely — both teams have 0% of seasonal matches with four or more goals, and shot conversion rates are 7.0% (Fluminense) vs 10.0% (Corinthians), therefore I assign it about a 12% probability. The strongest play signal is therefore Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side "over").
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1: Fluminense leads at the break and wins, because in the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 4 of 5 (80%), scoring an average of 1.0 goals by half-time and conceding 0.2, whereas Corinthians did not lead at the break in their last 5 (0%) and averaged 0.4 goals for and 0.6 against by half-time. Fluminense creates significantly more chances: 13.5 shots and 3.25 on target versus 7.75 and 2.75 for the visitors, and xG is 1.28 compared to 0.87 for Corinthians, with Corinthians conceding 1.3 xG on average. Additionally, Fluminense’s form over the last 5 shows a 60% win rate and 2.0 points per game, while Corinthians have a 0% win rate and 0.6 PPG, which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead through to full-time. For these reasons I assigned the largest share to the 1/1 outcome (46%), with secondary chances for a draw or a home turnaround after the break (X/1 15%, X/X 8%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fluminense is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fluminense · 0.8 pts / match - Corinthians
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Fluminense · 0.88 goals / match - Corinthians
Corinthians is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Fluminense · 0.88 goals / match - Corinthians
Fluminense scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Corinthians keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Corinthians scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fluminense
Over / Under - Corinthians
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 142% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.13 pts / match - Fluminense · 0.88 pts / match - Corinthians
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Corinthians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fluminense
Corinthians
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.66 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▼ 38% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fluminense 1 - 0 - 1 Corinthians. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fluminense vs Corinthians?
The Serie A match finished Fluminense 3:1 Corinthians. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Corinthians?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1, Corinthians won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Corinthians?
Fluminense score 1.63 goals per game on average and Corinthians 0.88. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Fluminense's matches and 50% of Corinthians's.
What form are Fluminense and Corinthians in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Corinthians 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Corinthians?
The statistical background for Fluminense vs Corinthians — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.