Fluminense vs Flamengo: match statistics
Fluminense vs Flamengo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fluminense played Flamengo in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Fluminense: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Flamengo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fluminense scores 1.70 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Flamengo scores 1.78 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fluminense 70%, Flamengo 56%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 50%, Flamengo 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.41. Fluminense: 15.3 shots per match, Flamengo: 13.2.
Match halves
Fluminense: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.80. Flamengo: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Fluminense: 16-30 (4 goals). Flamengo: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fluminense is the clear favorite: at home they have a 100% win rate and a 5-match home winning streak, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Offensively Fluminense posts an average xG of 1.78 at home and averages 7 shots on target and 15.6 attempts per match, while Flamengo away has xG 1.17, 3.2 shots on target and 11.2 attempts. In the last 5 matches Fluminense scored 7 goals (form lwwdd) and Flamengo 9 goals (form wdlww), but the visitors score only 1.4 goals on average away and have 20% of away matches without a goal. Defensively the home advantage is clear: 40% clean sheets at home and average xG against 1.02, versus 1.15 xG against and 1.4 goals conceded for Flamengo on the road. Considering the superiority in possession (59% vs 53%), the higher number of shots on target and the flawless home run, I assign Fluminense a 65% chance to win, a 20% chance of a draw and a 15% chance of a Flamengo victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The match presents mixed signals but slightly favors the "both teams to score" scenario. Fluminense score an average of 2.25 goals at home with xG 1.70, yet concede only 0.50 goals per match and record clean sheets in 50% of games, which limits Flamengo’s chances. Flamengo average 1.40 goals this season with xG 1.17, have a seasonal BTTS rate of 60% and average 1.8 goals in the last 5 matches (Flamengo’s last 5 matches show BTTS 40%), indicating an ability to score despite inconsistency. Adjusted xG against each other is roughly 1.43 for Fluminense and 1.17 for Flamengo, which in a simple estimate yields about a 52% probability of both teams scoring. Considering the league BTTS level of 57% and Flamengo’s high share of matches over 2.5 goals (80%), I recommend a "yes" selection with a weighting of 52% for Yes and 48% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis shows Fluminense scores an average of 2.25 goals at home while Flamengo averages 1.4 away; both teams have 100% of matches with at least 2 goals (over 1.5). In xG terms Fluminense has xG_for 1.70 and Flamengo xG_for 1.17; xG_against values are 1.16 for Fluminense and 1.15 for Flamengo, which when averaged yield roughly 1.43 expected goals for the home side and 1.17 for the visitors (total 2.60). Fluminense averages 15.75 shots and 4.75 on target with a 14% conversion, whereas Flamengo has 11.2 shots and 3.2 on target with a 13% conversion, increasing the number of scoring opportunities. Seasonal over 2.5 rates are 50% for Fluminense and 80% for Flamengo (average ~65%), while over 3.5 are rare (25%/0%, average ~12%), so the strongest signal is over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The favorite is Fluminense: at home they score on average 2.25 goals per match and concede only 0.5, they have a 75% win rate at their stadium, and the home xG is 1.7 versus 1.17 for the visitors, indicating a clear creative advantage. In the first half Fluminense averages 0.5 goals and concedes 0.25, and in the last 5 matches they led at the break in 60% of games, so a lead at the break is realistic. The strongest argument is the second half: the hosts score on average 1.75 goals after the break and in the data they won the second half in 100% of cases, which suggests maintaining or increasing the lead after the break. Flamengo can score quickly (3 goals in minutes 0–15 in the data) and averages 1.0 goals by half-time, but they have a lower xG (1.17) and fewer shots on target (3.2 versus 4.75 for the hosts), which weakens their chances of holding a lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.7 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.78 goals / match - Flamengo
Flamengo is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Fluminense · 1 goals / match - Flamengo
Fluminense scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Flamengo scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fluminense
Over / Under - Flamengo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.1 pts / match - Fluminense · 1.67 pts / match - Flamengo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fluminense
Flamengo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 57% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fluminense 1 - 0 - 1 Flamengo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fluminense vs Flamengo?
The Serie A match finished Fluminense 1:2 Flamengo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Flamengo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1, Flamengo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Flamengo?
Fluminense score 1.70 goals per game on average and Flamengo 1.78. The Serie A average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Fluminense's matches and 56% of Flamengo's.
What form are Fluminense and Flamengo in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Flamengo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Flamengo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fluminense vs Flamengo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.