Fluminense vs Palmeiras: match statistics
Fluminense vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fluminense played Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Fluminense: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match. Palmeiras: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fluminense scores 1.41 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Palmeiras scores 1.73 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fluminense 73%, Palmeiras 59%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 45%, Palmeiras 55%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.53. Fluminense: 15.2 shots per match, Palmeiras: 14.1.
Match halves
Fluminense: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.77. Palmeiras: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Fluminense: 76-90+ (8 goals). Palmeiras: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fluminense have excellent home numbers: they win 64% of their matches, score an average of 1.64 goals and generate 2.03 xG with 60% possession. However, the hosts are clearly struggling for finishing efficiency, having scored just 3 goals in their last five matches, winning none and drawing as many as four. Palmeiras top the table, have suffered only 2 defeats throughout the season and boast a significantly stronger defence, conceding 16 goals in 22 matches. Away from home, the visitors average 1.91 goals scored, concede just 0.73 and keep a clean sheet in 45% of matches, although their xG stands at only 1.35. The combination of Fluminense’s excellent home form, Palmeiras’ defensive solidity and the hosts’ recent run of draws points towards a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS figures are admittedly high, at 64% for Fluminense and 55% for Palmeiras, but the hosts’ current form clearly weakens the Goal/Goal scenario. Fluminense have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals per game, while Palmeiras have averaged 2.0 goals per match. Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 45% of their matches this season, and both teams concede just 0.73 goals on average, increasing the likelihood that at least one side will fail to score. The hosts are still creating chances worth 1.57 xG across their last five matches, but their low finishing efficiency, combined with the opponent’s solid defensive setup, marginally supports BTTS - No. This means that at least one team is expected not to score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have very stable defensive foundations, as each concedes an average of just 0.73 goals per match, while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 45% of its games. Fluminense has scored just 3 goals in its last five outings, or 0.6 per match, which limits the hosts’ attacking potential despite an average xG of 1.57. Palmeiras is in better scoring form, with 10 goals and an xG of 1.98 in its last five matches, but Fluminense has conceded only 1.0 goal per game during this period. The Under 3.5 line has the edge, as 91% of Fluminense’s and 64% of Palmeiras’s matches this season have finished below it, while the combined projection of 2.46 goals remains clearly below four goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Palmeiras victory at the final whistle, as Fluminense have failed to score before the break in each of their last five matches and went into half-time level in as many as 60% of those games. Palmeiras have also been level at half-time in 60% of their last five appearances, but they averaged 0.6 goals in the first half, while the hosts conceded 0.4 goals during that period. After the break, the visitors are currently clearly more dangerous: in their last five matches, they averaged 1.4 goals compared with Fluminense’s 0.6, while their goal difference in the second half stood at +4, compared with the hosts’ level balance. Over the season, Palmeiras have also taken the lead at the break more often—64% compared with 55%—and, given their significantly better current form, including a 40% win rate versus Fluminense’s 0%, they should be more effective at deciding an evenly balanced opening phase.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palmeiras is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Fluminense · 2 pts / match - Palmeiras
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.73 goals / match - Palmeiras
Palmeiras is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Fluminense · 0.73 goals / match - Palmeiras
Fluminense scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
Palmeiras scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fluminense
Over / Under - Palmeiras
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Fluminense · 2.14 pts / match - Palmeiras
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fluminense
Palmeiras
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 24% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Fluminense 0 - 1 - 2 Palmeiras. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The Serie A match finished Fluminense 3:2 Palmeiras. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Palmeiras?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 0, Palmeiras won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Fluminense score 1.41 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.73. The Serie A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Fluminense's matches and 59% of Palmeiras's.
What form are Fluminense and Palmeiras in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 0-5-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Palmeiras 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The statistical background for Fluminense vs Palmeiras — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.