Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fluminense played Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Fluminense: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fluminense scores 1.56 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.13 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fluminense 76%, Vasco da Gama 67%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 52%, Vasco da Gama 58%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.74. Fluminense: 15.3 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 17.5.
Match halves
Fluminense: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.92. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Fluminense: 76-90+ (12 goals). Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fluminense are clearly stronger at home: they have won 69% of their home matches, losing only 8% of them, while Vasco have not recorded a single away win. The hosts create significantly more high-quality chances, averaging 2.05 xG and 6.92 shots on target per home game, compared with Vasco’s 1.53 xG and 4.09 shots on target away from home. The defensive contrast further strengthens the case: Fluminense concede 1.08 goals per home match, while Vasco concede as many as 1.91, keeping a clean sheet in just 9% of their away fixtures. Both teams have averaged 1.8 points per game across their last five matches, but Fluminense remain unbeaten during this period, recording 2 wins and 3 draws. Vasco have scored 9 goals in their last five appearances, but their poor away form and the hosts’ significant advantage in chance creation point towards a Fluminense win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal statistics strongly support goals from both sides: BTTS occurred in 62% of Fluminense’s matches and in as many as 73% of Vasco da Gama’s games, compared with the league average of 59%. In their last five matches, Fluminense recorded BTTS in 80% of cases, while Vasco did so in 60%; during this period, both teams averaged 1.8 goals per match. The hosts create an average of 2.10 xG and register 6.15 shots on target, while Vasco produces 1.53 xG, providing a solid basis for both sides to find the net. The defences are not particularly tight: Fluminense concede an average of 1.38 goals per season, Vasco 1.91, while clean sheets for the two teams occur in just 8% and 9% of matches, respectively. The BTTS - Yes scenario is therefore stronger than the outcome in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Fluminense and Vasco have high rates of matches featuring at least 2 goals: 77% and 73%, respectively, which strongly supports Over 1.5. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.8 goals scored, while their games produced an average of 3.2 goals for Fluminense and 3.6 goals for Vasco. The home side creates an average of 2.10 xG and registers 6.15 shots on target per match, while Vasco concedes an average of 1.91 goals, so Fluminense should have solid attacking potential. Vasco also has a case for scoring, with an average xG of 1.53, while Fluminense had conceded in 92% of its matches. The Over 1.5 line is the safest choice, as it combines both teams’ seasonal consistency with their clearly high-scoring form in recent matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Fluminense win at full-time, as both teams tend to score few goals before the break: the hosts average 0.31 goals in the first half, while Vasco average 0.27. A draw after 45 minutes occurred in 80% of Fluminense’s last five matches and in 60% of Vasco’s recent games, while across Vasco’s full away sample, the rate of such draws is as high as 55%. After the break, the hosts’ advantage should increase: Fluminense average 0.92 goals in the second half, whereas Vasco concede 1.27 goals away from home after half-time. The hosts also have clearly superior chance-creation metrics, with an xG of 2.10 compared with 1.53 and 6.15 shots on target per match compared with 4.09. The case for a Fluminense win in the final result is further supported by their average of 1.54 points per match and a 46% win rate, compared with just 0.45 points and a 0% win rate for Vasco in away matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fluminense is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fluminense · 1 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.13 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Fluminense is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.63 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Fluminense scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
Vasco da Gama scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fluminense
Over / Under - Vasco da Gama
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Fluminense · 0.88 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.65 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 24% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Fluminense 1 - 0 - 2 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
The Serie A match finished Fluminense 1:0 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1, Vasco da Gama won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Fluminense score 1.56 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.13. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Fluminense's matches and 67% of Vasco da Gama's.
What form are Fluminense and Vasco da Gama in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.