Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fluminense play Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 6 September 2026.
Current form
Fluminense: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fluminense scores 1.56 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.13 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fluminense 76%, Vasco da Gama 67%. Over 2.5: Fluminense 52%, Vasco da Gama 58%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.74. Fluminense: 15.3 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 17.5.
Match halves
Fluminense: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.92. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Fluminense: 76-90+ (12 goals). Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fluminense is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fluminense · 1 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.13 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Fluminense is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Fluminense · 1.63 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Fluminense scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
Vasco da Gama scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fluminense
Over / Under - Vasco da Gama
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Fluminense · 0.88 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 23% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Fluminense 1 - 0 - 2 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Fluminense and Vasco da Gama play?
Fluminense face Vasco da Gama on 6 September 2026 in Serie A. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1, Vasco da Gama won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Fluminense score 1.56 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.13. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Fluminense's matches and 67% of Vasco da Gama's.
What form are Fluminense and Vasco da Gama in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


