Foggia vs Picerno: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Foggia presents weak form with only one victory in the last five matches and a point record of 0.6 PPG, yet they play at home where they achieve 33% wins. Picerno has better recent form (1.6 PPG) with two wins and two draws in the last five encounters, but performs poorly away with 54% losses and a negative goal difference of -10. Both teams are characterized by similar average xG (Foggia 1.07 vs Picerno 0.97) and a high percentage of conceded goals, suggesting an open game. Considering the weak defense of both squads and balanced offensive statistics, a draw appears the most logical conclusion to this duel.
Foggia vs Picerno: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Foggia played Picerno in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 10 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Foggia: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Picerno: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Foggia scores 0.88 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Picerno scores 1.12 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Foggia 56%, Picerno 60%. Over 2.5: Foggia 56%, Picerno 56%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Foggia: 9.1 shots per match, Picerno: 9.0.
Match halves
Foggia: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.44. Picerno: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Foggia: 31-45+ (5 goals). Picerno: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Foggia presents weak form with only one victory in the last five matches and a point record of 0.6 PPG, yet they play at home where they achieve 33% wins. Picerno has better recent form (1.6 PPG) with two wins and two draws in the last five encounters, but performs poorly away with 54% losses and a negative goal difference of -10. Both teams are characterized by similar average xG (Foggia 1.07 vs Picerno 0.97) and a high percentage of conceded goals, suggesting an open game. Considering the weak defense of both squads and balanced offensive statistics, a draw appears the most logical conclusion to this duel.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Foggia | Picerno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Picerno is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Foggia · 1.6 pts / match - Picerno
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Picerno is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Foggia · 1.12 goals / match - Picerno
Picerno is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Foggia · 1.64 goals / match - Picerno
Foggia scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
Picerno scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Foggia keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Foggia
Over / Under - Picerno
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Picerno is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Foggia · 1.44 pts / match - Picerno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Foggia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Foggia
Picerno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Foggia | Liga | Picerno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 30% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 65% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Foggia 0 - 0 - 1 Picerno. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Foggia vs Picerno?
The Serie C Group C match finished Foggia 1:2 Picerno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Foggia vs Picerno?
Foggia score 0.88 goals per game on average and Picerno 1.12. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Foggia's matches and 60% of Picerno's.
What form are Foggia and Picerno in?
Over the last 5 games Foggia have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Picerno 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Foggia vs Picerno?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.