Foggia vs Potenza Calcio: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly-matched confrontation between two teams in poor form. Foggia is experiencing a catastrophic run of five consecutive defeats without earning a single point, which places the hosts in a very difficult psychological situation. Potenza Calcio, despite slightly better recent form (1.4 points per game), performs terribly away from home with just a 13% win rate and a -17 goal difference. A key factor is that both teams have identical shot conversion (9%) and similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive efficiency. The high percentage of matches without a goal scored by both sides (33% for Foggia at home, 40% for Potenza away) and their poor defensive records point towards the possibility of a low-scoring draw. Considering the desperation of the hosts and the visitors' away weakness, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
Foggia vs Potenza Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Foggia play Potenza Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 8 March 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Foggia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Potenza Calcio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Foggia scores 0.74 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Potenza Calcio scores 1.42 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Foggia 50%, Potenza Calcio 53%. Over 2.5: Foggia 47%, Potenza Calcio 61%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Potenza Calcio has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.10. Foggia: 8.9 shots per match, Potenza Calcio: 12.2.
Match halves
Foggia: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.34. Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Foggia: 16-30 (6 goals). Potenza Calcio: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly-matched confrontation between two teams in poor form. Foggia is experiencing a catastrophic run of five consecutive defeats without earning a single point, which places the hosts in a very difficult psychological situation. Potenza Calcio, despite slightly better recent form (1.4 points per game), performs terribly away from home with just a 13% win rate and a -17 goal difference. A key factor is that both teams have identical shot conversion (9%) and similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive efficiency. The high percentage of matches without a goal scored by both sides (33% for Foggia at home, 40% for Potenza away) and their poor defensive records point towards the possibility of a low-scoring draw. Considering the desperation of the hosts and the visitors' away weakness, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Foggia | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Potenza Calcio is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Foggia · 1.6 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Potenza Calcio is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Foggia · 1.42 goals / match - Potenza Calcio
Potenza Calcio is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Foggia · 1.47 goals / match - Potenza Calcio
Foggia scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Potenza Calcio scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Foggia keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Foggia
Over / Under — Potenza Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Potenza Calcio is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Foggia · 1.39 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Foggia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 16%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Foggia
Potenza Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Foggia | Liga | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 46% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Foggia 0 - 0 - 1 Potenza Calcio. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Foggia vs Potenza Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Foggia 0:1 Potenza Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Foggia vs Potenza Calcio?
Foggia score 0.74 goals per game on average and Potenza Calcio 1.42. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Foggia's matches and 53% of Potenza Calcio's.
What form are Foggia and Potenza Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Foggia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Potenza Calcio 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Foggia vs Potenza Calcio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.