Italy - Serie C Group ASportitalia StadiumData current as of 19 September 2026

Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Folgore Caratese play Giana Erminio in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Sportitalia Stadium.

Current form

Folgore Caratese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Giana Erminio: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Folgore Caratese scores 1.00 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Giana Erminio scores 0.80 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Folgore Caratese 60%, Giana Erminio 60%. Over 2.5: Folgore Caratese 60%, Giana Erminio 60%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Giana Erminio has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.63. Folgore Caratese: 12.8 shots per match, Giana Erminio: 14.6.

Match halves

Folgore Caratese: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Giana Erminio: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Folgore Caratese: 76-90+ (2 goals). Giana Erminio: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
1Goals scored / match0.8
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
1.6Goals conceded / match1.6
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
51%Average possession57%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
4.6Shots on target / match4.4
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.8Shots per match14.6
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
4.6Shots on target4.4
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
7.8%Shot conversion5.5%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
51%Possession57%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
1.63xG for1.84
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
1.39xG against1.77
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

Shooting quality

Folgore Caratese: BalancedGiana Erminio: Dominant
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
Accuracy (shots on target)36%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Folgore Caratese is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Folgore Caratese · 0.2 pts / match - Giana Erminio

Folgore Caratese
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W40% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 at home
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Giana Erminio
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W20% D80% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Folgore Caratese is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Folgore Caratese · 0.8 goals / match - Giana Erminio

Folgore Caratese scoring profile: very strong

Folgore Caratese scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Giana Erminio keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Giana Erminio scoring profile: strong

Giana Erminio scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Folgore Caratese keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

5Goals scored (season)4
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
8Goals conceded (season)8
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
2.6Average goals in match2.4
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal60%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
40%2 goals20%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0%3 goals0%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0%4 goals0%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal100%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
60%2 goals60%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
20%3 goals0%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0%4 goals0%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time40%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
20%Scored in both halves20%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
60%BTTS - last 560%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
60%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Folgore Caratese is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Folgore Caratese · 0.4 pts / match - Giana Erminio

Folgore Caratese - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Giana Erminio - half-time state
0% leading40% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.4
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)1
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0.6Average goals (1st half)1.4
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
60%Clean sheet before half-time20%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
80%No goal before half-time60%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

After half-time (2nd half)

0.6Points per match (2nd half)1
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
2Average goals (2nd half)1
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
40%No goal after half-time60%
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio

Folgore Caratese - second-half results

0% W60% D40% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Giana Erminio - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
2
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.40
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Folgore Caratese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Giana Erminio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Folgore Caratese
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Giana Erminio
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Folgore Caratese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
167%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Giana Erminio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.87
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Folgore CarateseLigaGiana Erminio
Average goals in match 2.602.16 2.40
Both teams scored 60%50% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%46% 60%
Clean sheets 20%34% 0%
Goal before half-time 60%58% 80%
Goal after half-time 60%64% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.16
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.20
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Folgore Caratese and Giana Erminio play?

Folgore Caratese face Giana Erminio on 20 September 2026 in Serie C Group A at Sportitalia Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio?

Folgore Caratese score 1.00 goals per game on average and Giana Erminio 0.80. The Serie C Group A average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Folgore Caratese's matches and 60% of Giana Erminio's.

What form are Folgore Caratese and Giana Erminio in?

Over the last 5 games Folgore Caratese have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Giana Erminio 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.