Foolad vs Shams Azar Qazvin: match statistics

Foolad head into the match in significantly better form: they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last five games, scoring 12 goals in total. During the same period, Shams Azar Qazvin managed just 1 win, suffered 3 defeats and scored only 4 goals. The hosts are averaging 2.4 goals per match in their current run, compared with just 0.8 for the visitors, while the points return stands at 2.6 to 0.8 per game. Foolad’s defense is not flawless, having conceded 5 goals in five matches, but their opponents have allowed 6 goals while showing considerably less attacking efficiency. In addition, Foolad sit 8th, whereas Shams Azar Qazvin are 12th, and together with the current form, this clearly favors a home win.

The stronger signal points to a scenario in which at least one team fails to score, primarily due to Shams Azar Qazvin’s limited finishing efficiency: they have averaged just 0.8 goals over their last 5 matches. The visitors recorded BTTS in only 20% of those games, while their average of 1.2 goals conceded suggests they could lose without scoring. Foolad are in significantly better offensive form, scoring 12 goals in 5 appearances—2.4 per match—while conceding only 5. Although the hosts recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, the visitors’ very low xG of 0.33 and the league BTTS rate of 17% reduce the likelihood of them finding the net. The most probable outcome is therefore a Foolad goal or goals, with at least one side failing to score—BTTS - No.

Foolad are in clearly better form, scoring 12 goals in their last five matches, an average of 2.4 per game, while Shams Azar Qazvin have scored just 4 goals during this period, averaging 0.8. The visitors conceded an average of 1.2 goals, whereas the hosts allowed their opponents just 1.0 goal per match, limiting the prospects of a very high-scoring game. The league-wide average is 2.17 goals, and only 17% of matches have gone Over 2.5 goals, indicating the generally defensive nature of the competition. Although 80% of Foolad’s last five matches featured at least three goals, the visitors’ weaker attack and a projected total of 2.00 goals provide the strongest case for Under 3.5 goals.

Foolad are in clearly superior form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored, and have not lost any of those games. The hosts were leading at the break in 60% of these fixtures and averaged 1.0 goal before half-time, while Shams Azar failed to score in the first half in any of them. The visitors have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, averaging just 0.8 points per game, and failed to find the net in the first half in 100% of those fixtures. After the break, Foolad maintain their advantage, averaging 1.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded, with a second-half goal difference of +5. The most logical scenario is an early lead for the hosts that is maintained until the final whistle, although the league’s low average of 2.17 goals per match leaves a significant possibility of a draw at half-time followed by a Foolad victory — the X/1 HT/FT outcome.