Forest Green Rovers vs Boston United: match statistics
Forest Green Rovers display a solid advantage in home fixtures with a 59% win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference. The hosts are distinguished by a high average xG (2.36) and possession dominance (56%), signaling an offensive playing style. Despite Boston United's good form in their last five games (2.6 PPG), they possess weaker away statistics – merely 35% wins and only 12% clean sheets. The visitors concede an average of 1.41 goals per away match, and their xG (1.4) is significantly lower than the hosts' defensive xG (1.01). While Forest Green's recent form (1 point from 5 matches) raises concerns, the statistical advantage of the hosts in a home tie against a mediocre traveling side should result in a victory. A draw remains a tangible scenario given the hosts' 29% home draw rate and the visitors' 35% on the road.
Forest Green Rovers vs Boston United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forest Green Rovers played Boston United in National League (England). The match was played on 24 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Forest Green Rovers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Boston United: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forest Green Rovers scores 1.65 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Boston United scores 1.26 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forest Green Rovers 71%, Boston United 59%. Over 2.5: Forest Green Rovers 50%, Boston United 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.37. Forest Green Rovers: 16.8 shots per match, Boston United: 10.2.
Match halves
Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.91. Boston United: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (13 goals). Boston United: 46-60 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forest Green Rovers display a solid advantage in home fixtures with a 59% win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference. The hosts are distinguished by a high average xG (2.36) and possession dominance (56%), signaling an offensive playing style. Despite Boston United's good form in their last five games (2.6 PPG), they possess weaker away statistics – merely 35% wins and only 12% clean sheets. The visitors concede an average of 1.41 goals per away match, and their xG (1.4) is significantly lower than the hosts' defensive xG (1.01). While Forest Green's recent form (1 point from 5 matches) raises concerns, the statistical advantage of the hosts in a home tie against a mediocre traveling side should result in a victory. A draw remains a tangible scenario given the hosts' 29% home draw rate and the visitors' 35% on the road.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forest Green Rovers | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Boston United is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers · 2.6 pts / match - Boston United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forest Green Rovers is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.26 goals / match - Boston United
Forest Green Rovers is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.44 goals / match - Boston United
Forest Green Rovers scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Boston United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Boston United scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forest Green Rovers
Over / Under - Boston United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forest Green Rovers is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.12 pts / match - Boston United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Boston United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forest Green Rovers
Boston United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Forest Green Rovers | Liga | Boston United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.79 | 2.86 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Forest Green Rovers 0 - 1 - 0 Boston United. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forest Green Rovers vs Boston United?
The National League match finished Forest Green Rovers 2:3 Boston United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Forest Green Rovers vs Boston United?
Forest Green Rovers score 1.65 goals per game on average and Boston United 1.26. The National League average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Forest Green Rovers's matches and 59% of Boston United's.
What form are Forest Green Rovers and Boston United in?
Over the last 5 games Forest Green Rovers have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Boston United 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forest Green Rovers vs Boston United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Forest Green Rovers vs Boston United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.