Forest Green Rovers vs Wealdstone: match statistics
Forest Green Rovers vs Wealdstone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forest Green Rovers played Wealdstone in National League (England). The match was played on 29 September 2026. Venue: The New Lawn. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Forest Green Rovers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Wealdstone: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forest Green Rovers scores 1.60 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Wealdstone scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forest Green Rovers 60%, Wealdstone 60%. Over 2.5: Forest Green Rovers 70%, Wealdstone 60%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.31. Forest Green Rovers: 12.9 shots per match, Wealdstone: 9.0.
Match halves
Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.10. Wealdstone: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (5 goals). Wealdstone: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forest Green Rovers hold a slight edge thanks to their attacking strength at home: they average 1.80 xG, 15.2 shots and 5.6 shots on target per match, while Wealdstone allow opponents 1.73 xG away from home. The hosts score an average of 1.8 goals in front of their home crowd, while the visitors, despite averaging 1.6 away goals, create just 1.11 xG and manage only 3 shots on target per game. The teams’ last five matches provide a slight argument in favour of Forest Green: they collected 7 points with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, while Wealdstone recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats. The risk for the hosts comes from a defence that concedes as many as 2 goals per home match and has kept a clean sheet in only 20% of games, meaning that despite the home advantage, a draw or a goal for the visitors also remains a realistic outcome. However, Wealdstone have recorded just 2 wins in 9 league matches this season and sit 20th, which, combined with Forest Green creating more chances, points towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is supported by the results of both teams: Forest Green have seen this outcome in 75% of their matches, while Wealdstone have recorded it in 60%, compared with a league average of 66%. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches, and their average of 2.25 goals conceded clearly increases Wealdstone’s chances of scoring, with the visitors averaging 1.60 goals. Forest Green have scored an average of 1.60 goals over their last five matches, while Wealdstone have conceded 1.60 during the same period, which supports a home goal despite Forest Green’s weaker season average of 0.75 goals. The attacking potential is confirmed by the xG figures: 1.71 for Forest Green and 1.23 for Wealdstone over their last five appearances, with 1.16 and 1.35 xG conceded respectively. The main risk to the pick is that Forest Green have failed to score in 25% of their matches, but the current-form data and the hosts’ leaky defence point towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Over 1.5 goals, as at least 2 goals were scored in 75% of Forest Green matches and 80% of Wealdstone fixtures. Forest Green concede an average of 2.25 goals at home, while Wealdstone score 1.60 goals away from home, which clearly supports the visitors’ attacking output. The hosts create an average of 1.47 xG, while Wealdstone allow opponents 1.73 xG, meaning Forest Green should also have genuine scoring opportunities. In their last five matches, both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 60% of cases, while the league average stands at a high 3.01 goals per game. The projected total of 2.75 goals also suggests a moderate edge for Over 2.5, but the 1.5 line is clearly safer and best supported by the data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as both teams were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, with each averaging 1.2 goals before half-time. However, Wealdstone have a significantly better overall season record: they average 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded, while Forest Green score just 0.75 and allow opponents 2.25 goals per match. The second half is key, with the hosts scoring only 0.25 goals but conceding as many as 1.50, whereas the visitors average 1.00 goal scored and 0.80 conceded. Forest Green have not won any of their four league matches so far, while Wealdstone have a 40% win rate, so after an even start, the visitors have the greater chance of deciding the match after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forest Green Rovers | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forest Green Rovers is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.2 pts / match - Wealdstone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forest Green Rovers is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.5 goals / match - Wealdstone
Wealdstone is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.5 goals / match - Wealdstone
Forest Green Rovers scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Wealdstone keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Wealdstone scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forest Green Rovers
Over / Under - Wealdstone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wealdstone is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers · 1.4 pts / match - Wealdstone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wealdstone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forest Green Rovers
Wealdstone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Forest Green Rovers | Liga | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 3.13 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 20% | 18% | ▲ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Forest Green Rovers 1 - 1 - 0 Wealdstone. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forest Green Rovers vs Wealdstone?
The National League match finished Forest Green Rovers 1:1 Wealdstone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forest Green Rovers and Wealdstone?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Forest Green Rovers won 1, Wealdstone won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forest Green Rovers vs Wealdstone?
Forest Green Rovers score 1.60 goals per game on average and Wealdstone 1.50. The National League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Forest Green Rovers's matches and 60% of Wealdstone's.
What form are Forest Green Rovers and Wealdstone in?
Over the last 5 games Forest Green Rovers have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Wealdstone 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forest Green Rovers vs Wealdstone?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.