Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City: match statistics
Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forfar Athletic played Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Forfar Athletic: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Elgin City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forfar Athletic scores 1.35 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Elgin City scores 1.35 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forfar Athletic 53%, Elgin City 59%. Over 2.5: Forfar Athletic 59%, Elgin City 47%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Elgin City has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.06. Forfar Athletic: 7.5 shots per match, Elgin City: 10.3.
Match halves
Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.41. Elgin City: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Forfar Athletic: 16-30 (7 goals). Elgin City: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forfar Athletic | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 51% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forfar Athletic is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Forfar Athletic · 1 pts / match - Elgin City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Forfar Athletic · 1.35 goals / match - Elgin City
Forfar Athletic scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Elgin City scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forfar Athletic
Over / Under - Elgin City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forfar Athletic is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Forfar Athletic · 1.12 pts / match - Elgin City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forfar Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forfar Athletic
Elgin City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Forfar Athletic | Liga | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.94 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 67% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 59% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 19% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Forfar Athletic 0 - 0 - 1 Elgin City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?
The League Two match finished Forfar Athletic 4:2 Elgin City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?
Forfar Athletic score 1.35 goals per game on average and Elgin City 1.35. The League Two average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Forfar Athletic's matches and 59% of Elgin City's.
What form are Forfar Athletic and Elgin City in?
Over the last 5 games Forfar Athletic have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Elgin City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


