Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Forfar Athletic played Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 4:2.

Current form

Forfar Athletic: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Elgin City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Forfar Athletic scores 1.35 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Elgin City scores 1.35 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Forfar Athletic 53%, Elgin City 59%. Over 2.5: Forfar Athletic 59%, Elgin City 47%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Elgin City has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.06. Forfar Athletic: 7.5 shots per match, Elgin City: 10.3.

Match halves

Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.41. Elgin City: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.06.

Goals by minute

Forfar Athletic: 16-30 (7 goals). Elgin City: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Forfar AthleticElgin City
11Shots6
Forfar AthleticElgin City
8Shots on target4
Forfar AthleticElgin City
1.73xG1.05
Forfar AthleticElgin City
3Corners7
Forfar AthleticElgin City
67Dangerous attacks54
Forfar AthleticElgin City
8Fouls10
Forfar AthleticElgin City
3Cards4
Forfar AthleticElgin City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Forfar AthleticElgin City
1.35Goals scored / match1.35
Forfar AthleticElgin City
1.59Goals conceded / match1.35
Forfar AthleticElgin City
47%Average possession52%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
3.82Shots on target / match4.94
Forfar AthleticElgin City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.47Shots per match10.29
Forfar AthleticElgin City
3.82Shots on target4.94
Forfar AthleticElgin City
18.1%Shot conversion13.1%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
47%Possession52%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
1.06xG for1.41
Forfar AthleticElgin City
1.24xG against1.1
Forfar AthleticElgin City

Shooting quality

Forfar Athletic: Counter-attackingElgin City: Efficient finishing
Forfar AthleticElgin City
Accuracy (shots on target)51%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Forfar Athletic is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Forfar Athletic · 1 pts / match - Elgin City

Forfar Athletic
WWLLL
Season result split
29% W24% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-8
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Elgin City
WDDLL
Season result split
29% W29% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-7
1.18 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Elgin City is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.59 goals / match - Forfar Athletic · 1.35 goals / match - Elgin City

Forfar Athletic scoring profile: very strong

Forfar Athletic scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

Elgin City scoring profile: very strong

Elgin City scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

23Goals scored (season)23
Forfar AthleticElgin City
27Goals conceded (season)23
Forfar AthleticElgin City
2.94Average goals in match2.71
Forfar AthleticElgin City
11Goals scored (last 5)5
Forfar AthleticElgin City
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
Forfar AthleticElgin City

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal76%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
29%2 goals47%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
18%3 goals12%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
18%4 goals0%
Forfar AthleticElgin City

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal76%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
47%2 goals29%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
29%3 goals24%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
6%4 goals6%
Forfar AthleticElgin City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time6%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
12%BTTS in both halves6%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
24%Scored in both halves24%
Forfar AthleticElgin City

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
60%BTTS - last 560%
Forfar AthleticElgin City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Forfar AthleticElgin City

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Forfar AthleticElgin City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forfar Athletic is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Forfar Athletic · 1.12 pts / match - Elgin City

Forfar Athletic - half-time state
59% leading24% draw18% trailing
Elgin City - half-time state
24% leading41% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.12
Forfar AthleticElgin City
0.94Goals scored (1st half)0.29
Forfar AthleticElgin City
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
Forfar AthleticElgin City
1.59Average goals (1st half)0.88
Forfar AthleticElgin City
59%Clean sheet before half-time59%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
35%No goal before half-time71%
Forfar AthleticElgin City

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per match (2nd half)1.41
Forfar AthleticElgin City
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
Forfar AthleticElgin City
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
Forfar AthleticElgin City
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.82
Forfar AthleticElgin City
41%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Forfar AthleticElgin City
71%No goal after half-time29%
Forfar AthleticElgin City

Forfar Athletic - second-half results

18% W35% R47% P
34
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Elgin City - second-half results

35% W35% R29% P
19
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forfar Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.41.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Elgin City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Forfar Athletic
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
7
5
16-30
6
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
4
4
61-75
0
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Elgin City
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
0
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
6
1
46-60
7
6
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.82
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Forfar Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Elgin City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Forfar AthleticLigaElgin City
Average goals in match 2.942.98 2.71
Both teams scored 53%67% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%58% 47%
Clean sheets 29%19% 24%
Goal before half-time 82%76% 65%
Goal after half-time 71%78% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.58
Away goals / match
+-11%
Home attack advantage
+-13%
Home defence advantage
+-6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Elgin CityGoalRussell DingwallAssist: Ryan Sargent
  2. Forfar AthleticGoalScott Shepherd
  3. Forfar AthleticYellow cardCraig Slater
  4. Forfar AthleticGoalScott Shepherd
  5. Forfar AthleticSubstitutionOn: Marc McCallumOff: Neil Stafford
  6. Elgin CityYellow cardMiko Aarne Virtanen
  7. Elgin CityYellow cardDylan Ross
  8. Forfar AthleticGoalScott Shepherd
  9. Elgin CitySubstitutionOn: Kyle GirvanOff: Alasdair Spalding
  10. Elgin CitySubstitutionOn: Josh WalkerOff: Ryan Sargent
  11. Forfar AthleticYellow cardMackenzie Lemon
  12. Forfar AthleticSubstitutionOn: Lewis LorimerOff: Jake Sutherland
  13. Elgin CitySubstitutionOn: Brian CameronOff: Miko Aarne Virtanen
  14. Elgin CityGoalJack Maciver
  15. Elgin CityYellow cardJack Murray
  16. Forfar AthleticYellow cardMarc McCallum
  17. Elgin CityYellow cardJack Murray
  18. Forfar AthleticGoalScott ShepherdAssist: Martin Rennie

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Lewis HogarthMatches officiated: 9
7Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins11%Draws33%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Forfar Athletic 0 - 0 - 1 Elgin City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Elgin City FC
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic FC

FAQ

What was the result of Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

The League Two match finished Forfar Athletic 4:2 Elgin City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

Forfar Athletic score 1.35 goals per game on average and Elgin City 1.35. The League Two average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Forfar Athletic's matches and 59% of Elgin City's.

What form are Forfar Athletic and Elgin City in?

Over the last 5 games Forfar Athletic have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Elgin City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.