Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer: match statistics
The match promises to be evenly contested, as evidenced by the similar statistics of both teams. Forfar Athletic holds a slight home advantage with a 44% home win record and an average of 1.67 goals per match; however, their recent form (1-2-2 in the last 5 games) raises concerns. Stranraer has shown better disposition in recent weeks with a 2-3-0 run and a higher PPG (1.8 vs 1.0), making them a dangerous opponent on the road. Both teams have identical win rates on their respective grounds (44%), while Stranraer has a better goal difference in away matches (+4 vs +1 for the hosts at home). Considering the balanced form, similar xG, and the fact that both squads draw relatively often, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this encounter.
Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forfar Athletic played Stranraer in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Forfar Athletic: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Stranraer: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forfar Athletic scores 1.47 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Stranraer scores 1.32 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forfar Athletic 58%, Stranraer 68%. Over 2.5: Forfar Athletic 58%, Stranraer 53%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Stranraer has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.14. Forfar Athletic: 8.0 shots per match, Stranraer: 8.9.
Match halves
Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.47. Stranraer: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Forfar Athletic: 16-30 (8 goals). Stranraer: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be evenly contested, as evidenced by the similar statistics of both teams. Forfar Athletic holds a slight home advantage with a 44% home win record and an average of 1.67 goals per match; however, their recent form (1-2-2 in the last 5 games) raises concerns. Stranraer has shown better disposition in recent weeks with a 2-3-0 run and a higher PPG (1.8 vs 1.0), making them a dangerous opponent on the road. Both teams have identical win rates on their respective grounds (44%), while Stranraer has a better goal difference in away matches (+4 vs +1 for the hosts at home). Considering the balanced form, similar xG, and the fact that both squads draw relatively often, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forfar Athletic | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stranraer is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Forfar Athletic · 1.8 pts / match - Stranraer
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forfar Athletic is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Forfar Athletic · 1.32 goals / match - Stranraer
Stranraer is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Forfar Athletic · 1.32 goals / match - Stranraer
Forfar Athletic scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Stranraer scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forfar Athletic
Over / Under - Stranraer
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forfar Athletic is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.11 pts / match - Forfar Athletic · 1.58 pts / match - Stranraer
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forfar Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forfar Athletic
Stranraer
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Forfar Athletic | Liga | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.05 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 58% | 69% | • 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 58% | 57% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 18% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Forfar Athletic 1 - 0 - 1 Stranraer. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer?
The League Two match finished Forfar Athletic 2:2 Stranraer. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forfar Athletic and Stranraer?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Forfar Athletic won 1, Stranraer won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer?
Forfar Athletic score 1.47 goals per game on average and Stranraer 1.32. The League Two average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Forfar Athletic's matches and 68% of Stranraer's.
What form are Forfar Athletic and Stranraer in?
Over the last 5 games Forfar Athletic have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Stranraer 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer?
The statistical background for Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.