Forge FC vs Atlético Ottawa: match statistics
Forge FC vs Atlético Ottawa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forge FC play Atlético Ottawa in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Forge FC: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Atlético Ottawa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forge FC scores 1.67 and concedes 0.58 goals per match. Atlético Ottawa scores 1.46 and concedes 1.77. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forge FC 42%, Atlético Ottawa 69%. Over 2.5: Forge FC 42%, Atlético Ottawa 62%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Forge FC has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.25. Forge FC: 13.7 shots per match, Atlético Ottawa: 11.1.
Match halves
Forge FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.25. Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Forge FC: 61-75 (8 goals). Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 1-3-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 83%.
Match description
I back the away win (2): Atlético Ottawa holds the edge in recent form. In the last 5 matches the visitors have 3 wins and 2 losses ('wwwll'), whereas Forge FC have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses ('wlldl'), translating to an average points per game of 1.8 versus 0.8 over the last five fixtures (a 1.0 point differential). Both teams scored 5 goals in those five matches, but Ottawa’s defense appears weaker — conceding 9 goals compared to Forge’s 7 — so an open game with goals is likely. Additionally, Ottawa sit 1st in the table and Forge are 3rd, and season metrics (average xG, possession) are incomplete (values equal 0), so the prediction is based primarily on form from the last 5 matches.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forge FC | Atlético Ottawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forge FC is 114% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Forge FC · 1.4 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forge FC is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Forge FC · 1.46 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa
Forge FC is 205% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.58 goals / match - Forge FC · 1.77 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa
Forge FC scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
Atlético Ottawa scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Forge FC
Over / Under — Atlético Ottawa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forge FC is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Forge FC · 0.85 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forge FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Ottawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forge FC
Atlético Ottawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Forge FC | Liga | Atlético Ottawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 58% | 20% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 86% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Forge FC 1 - 3 - 2 Atlético Ottawa. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forge FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Forge FC 2:0 Atlético Ottawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forge FC and Atlético Ottawa?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Forge FC won 1, Atlético Ottawa won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forge FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
Forge FC score 1.67 goals per game on average and Atlético Ottawa 1.46. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Forge FC's matches and 69% of Atlético Ottawa's.
What form are Forge FC and Atlético Ottawa in?
Over the last 5 games Forge FC have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Atlético Ottawa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forge FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.