Forge FC vs Cavalry FC: match statistics
Forge FC vs Cavalry FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forge FC played Cavalry FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 31 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Forge FC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Cavalry FC: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forge FC scores 1.29 and concedes 0.43 goals per match. Cavalry FC scores 1.71 and concedes 0.43. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forge FC 29%, Cavalry FC 43%. Over 2.5: Forge FC 29%, Cavalry FC 43%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Cavalry FC has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.43. Forge FC: 12.4 shots per match, Cavalry FC: 13.6.
Match halves
Forge FC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Cavalry FC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Forge FC: 76-90+ (3 goals). Cavalry FC: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-2. Average goals 1.83, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Forge FC (1) victory. Forge concedes on average 0 goals per home match and has 100% clean sheets with xG against of 0.56, indicating an exceptionally tight defense. Cavalry have scored 12 goals this season versus Forge’s 9, and score an average of 1.25 goals away with a conversion rate of 11% versus the home side’s 7%, giving the visitors an edge in finishing efficiency. In the last 5 matches both teams have won 4 games each (Forge 4-0-1 with 10 goals; Cavalry 4-1-0 with 9 goals) and have similar points averages over this period: 2.4 for Forge and 2.6 for Cavalry. Considering the clear defensive advantage of the home side (lower xG against 0.56 vs 1.38) and comparable offensive metrics (xG 1.49 vs 1.42), I expect a tight, low-scoring match decided narrowly in Forge’s favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Key indicators favor BTTS - No. Cavalry have 75% clean sheets away with a season BTTS of only 25%, while Forge at home average 2.33 goals per game, xG 1.83 and 6.0 shots on target, and a home BTTS of 67% — a strong signal for BTTS - Yes. However, in the shorter 5-match window both teams had BTTS in only 40% of matches each, and their goals conceded averages over the last 5 are 0.6 for Forge and 0.4 for Cavalry, weakening the case for Goal/Goal. Additionally Cavalry concede only 0.25 goals away on the season and combined with 75% clean sheets this provides a strong signal for No Goal / clean sheet expected. Therefore I forecast 62% No and 38% BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate the total expected goals at 2.81 (1.61 for Forge, 1.20 for Cavalry), calculated as the average of attacking xG (Forge 1.83, Cavalry 1.42) and opponents’ defensive xG (Cavalry 1.38, Forge 0.99). Forge scores on average 2.33 goals per game and has 100% of home matches with over 1.5 goals, while Cavalry records 1.25 goals per game and 50% of away matches with over 1.5 goals. Forge averages 16.67 shots per match (6.0 on target) with a 14% conversion rate, and Cavalry 11.25 shots (4.25 on target) with an 11% conversion, which favors the home side in chance creation. Additionally, Forge has 67% of matches with both teams scoring, versus only 25% for Cavalry, so the home offensive edge should account for at least two goals in the match. For these reasons I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (≈90% probability), while the 2.5 line looks moderate (~66%), and 3.5 has low probability (~32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears most likely: the home side were level at the break in 67% of their matches and the visitors in 75%, indicating a high proportion of HT draws (approximately 71% on average). Nevertheless, I expect the hosts to win after the interval, since Forge FC average 2.33 goals per match versus Cavalry FC’s 1.25, have a higher xG (1.83 vs. 1.42) and generate more shots (16.67 vs. 11.25) and shots on target (6.0 vs. 4.25). The home team also average 1.33 second-half goals compared to the visitors’ 1.00, which raises the likelihood of a turnaround after an even first half. Defensive strengths of the visitors must be considered: Cavalry have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their matches this season and concede only 0.25 goals on average, so draw outcomes and a visitors’ win cannot be ruled out. Overall, the strongest signal from the data is a Half-Time draw followed by a home win (X/1), and therefore this outcome is assigned the highest share.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forge FC | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cavalry FC is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Forge FC · 2.2 pts / match - Cavalry FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cavalry FC is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Forge FC · 1.71 goals / match - Cavalry FC
Forge FC scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Cavalry FC keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Cavalry FC scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forge FC
Over / Under - Cavalry FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forge FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cavalry FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forge FC
Cavalry FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Forge FC | Liga | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 43% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 25% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Forge FC 1 - 3 - 2 Cavalry FC. Average goals 1.83, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forge FC vs Cavalry FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Forge FC 1:0 Cavalry FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Forge FC and Cavalry FC?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Forge FC won 1, Cavalry FC won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Forge FC vs Cavalry FC?
Forge FC score 1.29 goals per game on average and Cavalry FC 1.71. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Forge FC's matches and 43% of Cavalry FC's.
What form are Forge FC and Cavalry FC in?
Over the last 5 games Forge FC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cavalry FC 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forge FC vs Cavalry FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.