Italy - Serie C Group BData current as of 23 July 2026

Forlì vs Ascoli: match statistics

Forlì crest
Forlì
0 : 3half-time 0:1
Ascoli crest
Ascoli

Forlì vs Ascoli: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Forlì play Ascoli in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Forlì: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ascoli: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Forlì scores 1.14 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Ascoli scores 1.75 and concedes 0.64. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Forlì 53%, Ascoli 39%. Over 2.5: Forlì 44%, Ascoli 47%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Ascoli has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.53. Forlì: 11.8 shots per match, Ascoli: 13.7.

Match halves

Forlì: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69. Ascoli: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.94.

Goals by minute

Forlì: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ascoli: 31-45+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Ascoli is the clear favorite: the visitors sit 1st with 21 wins and a goal record of 59 scored to 22 conceded this season, and they have five straight wins, scoring 10 goals in that run, averaging 3 points per game. Forlì are unimpressive at home – in their last five matches they have no wins (0W, 3D, 2L), scored only 4 goals and conceded 7, with an average of 0.6 points over the last 5. Defensively Ascoli is superior: they concede 0.81 goals on average away versus 1.06 conceded by Forlì at home, and clean sheet percentage is 38% for Ascoli away versus 31% for Forlì at home. Offensively Forlì have slightly higher home xG (1.69) and more shots (13.44), but Ascoli is more efficient (conversion rate 14% vs 10%) and averages 1.69 goals away. Considering the form advantage (5 wins vs 0), better defence and front-line efficiency, I predict an Ascoli victory.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

31Possession (%)69
ForlìAscoli
9Shots10
ForlìAscoli
4Shots on target4
ForlìAscoli
1.31xG1.42
ForlìAscoli
3Corners6
ForlìAscoli
64Dangerous attacks69
ForlìAscoli
16Fouls10
ForlìAscoli
2Cards2
ForlìAscoli

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.14Goals scored / match1.75
ForlìAscoli
1.44Goals conceded / match0.64
ForlìAscoli
53%Average possession66%
ForlìAscoli
4.11Shots on target / match5.08
ForlìAscoli

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.81Shots per match13.67
ForlìAscoli
4.11Shots on target5.08
ForlìAscoli
9.6%Shot conversion12.8%
ForlìAscoli
53%Possession66%
ForlìAscoli
1.53xG for1.69
ForlìAscoli
1.36xG against1.09
ForlìAscoli

Shooting quality

Forlì: BalancedAscoli: Balanced
ForlìAscoli
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ascoli is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Forlì · 2.4 pts / match - Ascoli

Forlì
DLLWD
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-7-5
Last 5 at home
0-4-1
DDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Ascoli
WWWWL
Season result split
64% W22% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-8-5
2.14 pts / match · goal difference +40
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-3-4
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ascoli is 54% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Forlì · 1.75 goals / match - Ascoli

Ascoli is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.44 goals / match - Forlì · 0.64 goals / match - Ascoli

Forlì scoring profile: mixed

Forlì scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

Ascoli scoring profile: very strong

Ascoli scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

41Goals scored (season)63
ForlìAscoli
52Goals conceded (season)23
ForlìAscoli
2.58Average goals in match2.39
ForlìAscoli
3Goals scored (last 5)8
ForlìAscoli
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
ForlìAscoli

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal78%
ForlìAscoli
33%2 goals56%
ForlìAscoli
8%3 goals33%
ForlìAscoli
3%4 goals6%
ForlìAscoli

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal50%
ForlìAscoli
47%2 goals8%
ForlìAscoli
17%3 goals3%
ForlìAscoli
3%4 goals3%
ForlìAscoli

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time17%
ForlìAscoli
3%BTTS in both halves0%
ForlìAscoli
17%Scored in both halves33%
ForlìAscoli

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
ForlìAscoli
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
ForlìAscoli
40%BTTS - last 540%
ForlìAscoli

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
ForlìAscoli
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
ForlìAscoli
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
ForlìAscoli

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
ForlìAscoli
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
ForlìAscoli
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
ForlìAscoli

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ascoli is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / match - Forlì · 1.67 pts / match - Ascoli

Forlì - half-time state
25% leading47% draw28% trailing
Ascoli - half-time state
39% leading50% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)1.67
ForlìAscoli
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.81
ForlìAscoli
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
ForlìAscoli
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.11
ForlìAscoli
64%Clean sheet before half-time75%
ForlìAscoli
67%No goal before half-time50%
ForlìAscoli

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1.97
ForlìAscoli
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
ForlìAscoli
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
ForlìAscoli
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.28
ForlìAscoli
39%Clean sheet after half-time72%
ForlìAscoli
47%No goal after half-time39%
ForlìAscoli

Forlì - second-half results

31% W33% R36% P
44
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ascoli - second-half results

56% W31% R14% P
60
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
71
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding164%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forlì - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ascoli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.40
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Forlì
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
8
8
16-30
4
10
31-45
6
11
46-60
9
9
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Ascoli
ScoredConceded
9
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
18
6
31-45
13
1
46-60
7
5
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Forlì

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Ascoli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
162%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

ForlìLigaAscoli
Average goals in match 2.582.26 2.39
Both teams scored 53%49% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%39% 47%
Clean sheets 22%31% 50%
Goal before half-time 58%63% 58%
Goal after half-time 81%72% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Forlì 0 - 0 - 1 Ascoli. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Forlì vs Ascoli?

The Serie C Group B match finished Forlì 0:3 Ascoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Forlì vs Ascoli?

Forlì score 1.14 goals per game on average and Ascoli 1.75. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Forlì's matches and 39% of Ascoli's.

What form are Forlì and Ascoli in?

Over the last 5 games Forlì have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ascoli 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forlì vs Ascoli?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Forlì vs Ascoli: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.