Forlì vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Forlì played Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 4:2.

Current form

Forlì: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Forlì scores 1.25 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 1.13 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.22 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Forlì 56%, Athletic Carpi 44%. Over 2.5: Forlì 44%, Athletic Carpi 31%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.

xG, shots and style

Forlì has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.36. Forlì: 11.0 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 11.8.

Match halves

Forlì: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.94. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Forlì: 76-90+ (8 goals). Athletic Carpi: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

39Possession (%)61
ForlìAthletic Carpi
13Shots14
ForlìAthletic Carpi
7Shots on target10
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.76xG2.23
ForlìAthletic Carpi
3Corners7
ForlìAthletic Carpi
62Dangerous attacks90
ForlìAthletic Carpi
19Fouls15
ForlìAthletic Carpi
4Cards1
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.25Goals scored / match1.13
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.31Goals conceded / match1.06
ForlìAthletic Carpi
55%Average possession50%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
4Shots on target / match3.38
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match11.75
ForlìAthletic Carpi
4Shots on target3.38
ForlìAthletic Carpi
11.4%Shot conversion9.6%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
55%Possession50%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.47xG for1.36
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.4xG against1.44
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Shooting quality

Forlì: BalancedAthletic Carpi: Balanced
ForlìAthletic Carpi
Accuracy (shots on target)36%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Athletic Carpi is 900% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Forlì · 2 pts / match - Athletic Carpi

Forlì
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W19% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-7
1.31 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Athletic Carpi
WWLWD
Season result split
44% W25% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-5
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-0-3
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forlì is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - Forlì · 1.13 goals / match - Athletic Carpi

Athletic Carpi is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.31 goals / match - Forlì · 1.06 goals / match - Athletic Carpi

Forlì scoring profile: strong

Forlì scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: very strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).

20Goals scored (season)18
ForlìAthletic Carpi
21Goals conceded (season)17
ForlìAthletic Carpi
2.56Average goals in match2.19
ForlìAthletic Carpi
5Goals scored (last 5)5
ForlìAthletic Carpi
11Goals conceded (last 5)2
ForlìAthletic Carpi

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal81%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
38%2 goals25%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
13%3 goals6%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0%4 goals0%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal63%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
31%2 goals31%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
19%3 goals13%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0%4 goals0%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time6%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
13%Scored in both halves13%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
60%BTTS - last 520%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

38%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Athletic Carpi is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.19 pts / match - Forlì · 1.38 pts / match - Athletic Carpi

Forlì - half-time state
19% leading63% draw19% trailing
Athletic Carpi - half-time state
31% leading44% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.19Points per match (1st half)1.38
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0.31Goals scored (1st half)0.5
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0.63Average goals (1st half)0.88
ForlìAthletic Carpi
81%Clean sheet before half-time69%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
81%No goal before half-time63%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per match (2nd half)1.25
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.94Average goals (2nd half)1.31
ForlìAthletic Carpi
25%Clean sheet after half-time44%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
31%No goal after half-time44%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Forlì - second-half results

44% W13% D44% L
19
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
22
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forlì - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Athletic Carpi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Forlì
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
8
46-60
4
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
1
2
16-30
5
0
31-45
0
3
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Forlì

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

ForlìLigaAthletic Carpi
Average goals in match 2.562.22 2.19
Both teams scored 56%47% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%37% 31%
Clean sheets 19%31% 38%
Goal before half-time 38%57% 63%
Goal after half-time 100%74% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.22
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ForlìGoalDavide Macrì
  2. Athletic CarpiGoalMatteo Figoli
  3. ForlìGoalGiulio Manenti
  4. ForlìYellow cardMirko Elia
  5. Athletic CarpiYellow cardMatteo Rossini
  6. ForlìYellow cardGiulio Manenti
  7. ForlìYellow cardCarlo De Risio
  8. ForlìSubstitutionOn: Andrea FranzoliniOff: Carlo De Risio
  9. ForlìYellow cardNicola Farinelli
  10. Athletic CarpiGoalRiccardo Forte
  11. Athletic CarpiSubstitutionOn: Leonardo StanzaniOff: Matteo Rossini
  12. ForlìSubstitutionOn: Christian ScorzaOff: Nicola Farinelli

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Forlì vs Athletic Carpi?

The Serie C Group B match finished Forlì 4:2 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Forlì vs Athletic Carpi?

Forlì score 1.25 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 1.13. The Serie C Group B average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Forlì's matches and 44% of Athletic Carpi's.

What form are Forlì and Athletic Carpi in?

Over the last 5 games Forlì have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forlì vs Athletic Carpi?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Forlì vs Athletic Carpi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.