Forlì vs Livorno: match statistics
Forlì perform significantly better at home, achieving a 46% win rate in home matches and maintaining a positive goal difference (+5) at their own stadium. The home team has an advantage in average goals scored at home (1.46) and a higher xG ratio (1.67 vs 1.35), which indicates better quality of chances created. Livorno perform poorly in away matches, losing as many as 62% of games and scoring an average of just 0.69 goals per match, while also having a negative goal difference (-11). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 46% of away matches, which, given Forlì's solid home defense (31% clean sheets), could prove decisive. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (1.4 points per game each), but the home advantage and Forlì's home statistics speak in favor of the hosts.
Forlì vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forlì played Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Forlì: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Livorno: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forlì scores 1.25 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Livorno scores 1.03 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forlì 54%, Livorno 55%. Over 2.5: Forlì 46%, Livorno 62%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Forlì has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.32. Forlì: 11.7 shots per match, Livorno: 10.3.
Match halves
Forlì: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.82. Livorno: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Forlì: 76-90+ (10 goals). Livorno: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forlì perform significantly better at home, achieving a 46% win rate in home matches and maintaining a positive goal difference (+5) at their own stadium. The home team has an advantage in average goals scored at home (1.46) and a higher xG ratio (1.67 vs 1.35), which indicates better quality of chances created. Livorno perform poorly in away matches, losing as many as 62% of games and scoring an average of just 0.69 goals per match, while also having a negative goal difference (-11). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 46% of away matches, which, given Forlì's solid home defense (31% clean sheets), could prove decisive. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (1.4 points per game each), but the home advantage and Forlì's home statistics speak in favor of the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forlì | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Forlì · 1.03 goals / match - Livorno
Forlì scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
Livorno scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forlì
Over / Under - Livorno
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Livorno is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Forlì · 1.31 pts / match - Livorno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forlì
Livorno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Forlì | Liga | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 39% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 63% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Forlì 1 - 0 - 0 Livorno. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forlì vs Livorno?
The Serie C Group B match finished Forlì 1:1 Livorno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Forlì vs Livorno?
Forlì score 1.25 goals per game on average and Livorno 1.03. The Serie C Group B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Forlì's matches and 55% of Livorno's.
What form are Forlì and Livorno in?
Over the last 5 games Forlì have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Livorno 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forlì vs Livorno?
The statistical background for Forlì vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.