Forlì vs Pontedera: match statistics
Forlì appears to be the favorite in this encounter, mainly due to home advantage and better offensive form. The hosts average 1.36 goals at home with an xG of 1.67, while Pontedera averages only 0.75 goals away with an xG of 1.04. Particularly worrying for the visitors is their poor away efficiency – only 8% wins and a staggering 67% losses, with a goal difference of -13. Pontedera fails to score in 42% of away matches, which could be crucial given Forlì's defensive issues. A draw is also a realistic scenario, considering the recent form of both teams (0.4 points per match in the last 5 games) and the fact that Forlì draws 27% of home matches. However, statistics clearly indicate the hosts have a better chance of securing a victory.
Forlì vs Pontedera: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forlì played Pontedera in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 12 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Forlì: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Pontedera: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forlì scores 1.13 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Pontedera scores 0.87 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forlì 52%, Pontedera 52%. Over 2.5: Forlì 43%, Pontedera 48%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Forlì has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.19. Forlì: 11.4 shots per match, Pontedera: 9.7.
Match halves
Forlì: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Pontedera: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Forlì: 76-90+ (8 goals). Pontedera: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Forlì appears to be the favorite in this encounter, mainly due to home advantage and better offensive form. The hosts average 1.36 goals at home with an xG of 1.67, while Pontedera averages only 0.75 goals away with an xG of 1.04. Particularly worrying for the visitors is their poor away efficiency – only 8% wins and a staggering 67% losses, with a goal difference of -13. Pontedera fails to score in 42% of away matches, which could be crucial given Forlì's defensive issues. A draw is also a realistic scenario, considering the recent form of both teams (0.4 points per match in the last 5 games) and the fact that Forlì draws 27% of home matches. However, statistics clearly indicate the hosts have a better chance of securing a victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forlì | Pontedera | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Forlì · 0.87 goals / match - Pontedera
Forlì is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Forlì · 1.83 goals / match - Pontedera
Forlì scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Pontedera keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
Pontedera scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forlì
Over / Under - Pontedera
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pontedera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forlì
Pontedera
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Forlì | Liga | Pontedera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.61 | 2.24 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 37% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 31% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 62% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 71% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Forlì 0 - 0 - 1 Pontedera. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forlì vs Pontedera?
The Serie C Group B match finished Forlì 2:0 Pontedera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Forlì vs Pontedera?
Forlì score 1.13 goals per game on average and Pontedera 0.87. The Serie C Group B average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Forlì's matches and 52% of Pontedera's.
What form are Forlì and Pontedera in?
Over the last 5 games Forlì have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Pontedera 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forlì vs Pontedera?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.