Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence: match statistics
Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fort Wayne played Charlotte Independence in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Fort Wayne: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Charlotte Independence: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fort Wayne scores 0.75 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Charlotte Independence scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fort Wayne 25%, Charlotte Independence 75%. Over 2.5: Fort Wayne 25%, Charlotte Independence 75%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Charlotte Independence has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.29. Fort Wayne: 11.5 shots per match, Charlotte Independence: 17.5.
Match halves
Fort Wayne: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00. Charlotte Independence: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Fort Wayne: 0-15 (1 goals). Charlotte Independence: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Charlotte is the favorite in this match due to a clear offensive edge: the visitors have scored 8 goals this season versus Fort Wayne’s 3, and in the last 5 games Charlotte has 8 goals scored and 14 conceded, while the hosts have 4 scored and 9 conceded. Away, Charlotte averages 4.67 shots on target and 18 shots per game with 58% possession, and their away xG is 1.99 versus xG against 1.69, indicating higher-quality chance creation. However, the visitors’ defense is vulnerable — 14 goals conceded in the last five matches and an average of 2.0 goals conceded on the road increase the risk of an open game with many opportunities. Fort Wayne has averaged 0.8 points per match in the last 5 fixtures, holds a season record of 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses and only 3 goals this season, reflecting limited offensive effectiveness. Given the 8-to-3 goals, the visitors’ 1.99 xG, superiority in shots and possession, and a higher average points tally (1.2 vs 0.8), I project a Charlotte win (2) with an estimated away win probability of around 60%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the "both teams to score" scenario: Fort Wayne has a season BTTS 0% versus Charlotte's 100%, but in the last 5 matches it's 40% vs 80% respectively. In their last 5 matches Fort Wayne concedes an average of 1.8 goals (9 conceded in 5), and Charlotte concedes an average of 2.8 goals (14 in 5), indicating both sides have been allowing goals recently. The visitors generate xG 1.99 per match against Fort Wayne's xG against 1.36 and have scored an average of 1.6 goals in the last 5, while Fort Wayne despite a season scoring average of 4.0 has only 0.8 (4 goals) in the last 5 — this increases the likelihood of goal exchange. Additionally Fort Wayne’s shot conversion 25% vs Charlotte 7% and the league BTTS average 60% support the "BTTS - Yes" option, therefore I assess BTTS probability at 70% and No BTTS at 30%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model gives 1.72 xG for Fort Wayne (home attack xG 1.74 vs Charlotte defense xG 1.69) and 1.68 xG for Charlotte (away attack xG 1.99 vs Fort Wayne defense xG 1.36), totaling 3.40 expected goals. Converted to a Poisson distribution, these 3.40 goals translate to roughly an 85% chance of Over 1.5, ~66% for Over 2.5 and ~44% for Over 3.5. Seasonal data reinforce these conclusions: Fort Wayne at home has a season average of 4.0 goals and 100% of matches >1.5, while Charlotte away has 100% of matches >1.5 and 67% of matches >2.5; additionally Fort Wayne posts a 25% shot accuracy at home (5 on target from 16) versus 7% for Charlotte (4.67 on target from 18), which supports xG being realized. In the last 5 matches Charlotte scored 8 goals, Fort Wayne 4, and the league average is 2.8 goals per match, so our 3.40 projection is clearly above average; the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Fort Wayne is the favorite to lead at the break and to win (HT/FT 1/1), because the hosts average 3.0 goals by half-time and concede none (avg. 3.0 scored, 0.0 conceded) and lead at the break in 100% of home matches. At home they also have 100.0% wins and 100.0% clean sheets, which indicates they maintain the advantage throughout the match. Charlotte, on the other hand, averages 1.0 goal by half-time and concedes 1.33, does not lead at the break in any match and has only 0.33 points per game, so the probability of a turnaround is low. Although the visitors’ xG is 1.99 versus the hosts’ 1.74, Fort Wayne converts much better (25% conversion rate versus 7%) and averages 5.0 shots on target compared to 4.67, which translates into actual goals; therefore the strongest HT/FT signal is 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fort Wayne | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte Independence is 167% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Fort Wayne · 2 goals / match - Charlotte Independence
Fort Wayne scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Charlotte Independence scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Fort Wayne keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fort Wayne
Over / Under - Charlotte Independence
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fort Wayne is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Fort Wayne · 1.25 pts / match - Charlotte Independence
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fort Wayne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fort Wayne
Charlotte Independence
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Fort Wayne | Liga | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 58% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence?
The USL League One match finished Fort Wayne 2:2 Charlotte Independence. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence?
Fort Wayne score 0.75 goals per game on average and Charlotte Independence 2.00. The USL League One average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Fort Wayne's matches and 75% of Charlotte Independence's.
What form are Fort Wayne and Charlotte Independence in?
Over the last 5 games Fort Wayne have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Charlotte Independence 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fort Wayne vs Charlotte Independence: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.