Fortaleza CEIF vs Atlético Bucaramanga: match statistics
Fortaleza CEIF vs Atlético Bucaramanga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fortaleza CEIF play Atlético Bucaramanga in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Fortaleza CEIF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Bucaramanga: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.16 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.37 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fortaleza CEIF 74%, Atlético Bucaramanga 47%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza CEIF 47%, Atlético Bucaramanga 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Bucaramanga has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.26. Fortaleza CEIF: 12.0 shots per match, Atlético Bucaramanga: 13.3.
Match halves
Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.79. Atlético Bucaramanga: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (10 goals). Atlético Bucaramanga: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 2-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a home win for Fortaleza CEIF, who score on average 1.33 goals per home match with an xG of 1.47 and have 0% matches without a goal, while Atlético Bucaramanga average only 0.67 goals away and have 56% of away matches without scoring. Fortaleza generates more quality chances: 4.56 shots on target and 13.78 attempts per home match with 59% possession and a 10% conversion rate, versus 3.78 shots on target, 12 attempts and a 6% conversion for the visitors (49% possession). Defensively the hosts concede 1.00 goal on average at home with an xG against of 0.97, whereas Bucaramanga concede 1.33 away with xG against 1.23, indicating Fortaleza better limits opponent quality chances. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the hosts average 1.0 point per match versus 0.8 for the visitors, and statistically Fortaleza has a +3 home goal differential and 44% home wins, while the visitors have -6 in away matches and only 11% away wins. Based on this I give a 60% chance of a home win, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fortaleza CEIF | Atlético Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza CEIF is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 0.8 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.37 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.05 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fortaleza CEIF
Over / Under — Atlético Bucaramanga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.16 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fortaleza CEIF
Atlético Bucaramanga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Fortaleza CEIF | Liga | Atlético Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Fortaleza CEIF 2 - 0 - 2 Atlético Bucaramanga. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortaleza CEIF vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Fortaleza CEIF 2:1 Atlético Bucaramanga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortaleza CEIF and Atlético Bucaramanga?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Fortaleza CEIF won 2, Atlético Bucaramanga won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza CEIF vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
Fortaleza CEIF score 1.16 goals per game on average and Atlético Bucaramanga 1.37. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Fortaleza CEIF's matches and 47% of Atlético Bucaramanga's.
What form are Fortaleza CEIF and Atlético Bucaramanga in?
Over the last 5 games Fortaleza CEIF have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Bucaramanga 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza CEIF vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.