Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba: match statistics
Fortaleza CEIF presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and just 0% losses at their own stadium, making them a very difficult opponent at home. The hosts dominate possession (59% average) and generate significantly more scoring opportunities (15.75 shots per match) with a high xG coefficient (1.64). Jaguares de Córdoba have a catastrophic away record—0% wins, 67% losses, and they concede an average of 3 goals per match, with very weak xG (0.47) and just 1 shot on target per game. The difference in goal difference is telling: +2 for the hosts in home matches versus -8 for the visitors on the road. Considering all statistics, especially Fortaleza's dominance at home and Jaguares' dramatic weakness away, a victory for the hosts is the most probable scenario for this meeting.
Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fortaleza CEIF played Jaguares de Córdoba in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 5 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Fortaleza CEIF: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Jaguares de Córdoba: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.11 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Jaguares de Córdoba scores 1.00 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fortaleza CEIF 78%, Jaguares de Córdoba 38%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza CEIF 33%, Jaguares de Córdoba 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Fortaleza CEIF has higher xG: 1.42 vs 0.82. Fortaleza CEIF: 13.8 shots per match, Jaguares de Córdoba: 7.9.
Match halves
Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.89. Jaguares de Córdoba: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (6 goals). Jaguares de Córdoba: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fortaleza CEIF presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and just 0% losses at their own stadium, making them a very difficult opponent at home. The hosts dominate possession (59% average) and generate significantly more scoring opportunities (15.75 shots per match) with a high xG coefficient (1.64). Jaguares de Córdoba have a catastrophic away record—0% wins, 67% losses, and they concede an average of 3 goals per match, with very weak xG (0.47) and just 1 shot on target per game. The difference in goal difference is telling: +2 for the hosts in home matches versus -8 for the visitors on the road. Considering all statistics, especially Fortaleza's dominance at home and Jaguares' dramatic weakness away, a victory for the hosts is the most probable scenario for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fortaleza CEIF | Jaguares de Córdoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Jaguares de Córdoba is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.2 pts / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fortaleza CEIF is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Fortaleza CEIF is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.88 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Jaguares de Córdoba keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Jaguares de Córdoba scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
Over / Under - Jaguares de Córdoba
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jaguares de Córdoba is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.56 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1 pts / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jaguares de Córdoba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fortaleza CEIF
Jaguares de Córdoba
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Fortaleza CEIF | Liga | Jaguares de Córdoba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.56 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 59% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Fortaleza CEIF 2:1 Jaguares de Córdoba. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba?
Fortaleza CEIF score 1.11 goals per game on average and Jaguares de Córdoba 1.00. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Fortaleza CEIF's matches and 38% of Jaguares de Córdoba's.
What form are Fortaleza CEIF and Jaguares de Córdoba in?
Over the last 5 games Fortaleza CEIF have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Jaguares de Córdoba 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba?
The statistical background for Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.