Colombia - Categoria Primera AData current as of 24 July 2026

Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba: match statistics

165%(1.55)
X22%(3.80)
213%(5.25)

Fortaleza CEIF presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and just 0% losses at their own stadium, making them a very difficult opponent at home. The hosts dominate possession (59% average) and generate significantly more scoring opportunities (15.75 shots per match) with a high xG coefficient (1.64). Jaguares de Córdoba have a catastrophic away record—0% wins, 67% losses, and they concede an average of 3 goals per match, with very weak xG (0.47) and just 1 shot on target per game. The difference in goal difference is telling: +2 for the hosts in home matches versus -8 for the visitors on the road. Considering all statistics, especially Fortaleza's dominance at home and Jaguares' dramatic weakness away, a victory for the hosts is the most probable scenario for this meeting.

Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fortaleza CEIF play Jaguares de Córdoba in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 5 March 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Fortaleza CEIF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Jaguares de Córdoba: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.16 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Jaguares de Córdoba scores 1.05 and concedes 1.74. League average: 2.53 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fortaleza CEIF 74%, Jaguares de Córdoba 53%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza CEIF 47%, Jaguares de Córdoba 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Fortaleza CEIF has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.11. Fortaleza CEIF: 12.0 shots per match, Jaguares de Córdoba: 11.1.

Match halves

Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.79. Jaguares de Córdoba: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (10 goals). Jaguares de Córdoba: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

Fortaleza CEIF presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and just 0% losses at their own stadium, making them a very difficult opponent at home. The hosts dominate possession (59% average) and generate significantly more scoring opportunities (15.75 shots per match) with a high xG coefficient (1.64). Jaguares de Córdoba have a catastrophic away record—0% wins, 67% losses, and they concede an average of 3 goals per match, with very weak xG (0.47) and just 1 shot on target per game. The difference in goal difference is telling: +2 for the hosts in home matches versus -8 for the visitors on the road. Considering all statistics, especially Fortaleza's dominance at home and Jaguares' dramatic weakness away, a victory for the hosts is the most probable scenario for this meeting.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
10Shots12
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
6Shots on target5
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
1.26xG1.26
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
7Corners3
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
28Dangerous attacks21
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
14Fouls14
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
3Cards4
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
1.16Goals scored / match1.05
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
1.42Goals conceded / match1.74
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
54%Average possession46%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
3.58Shots on target / match3.53
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match11.05
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
3.58Shots on target3.53
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
9.6%Shot conversion9.5%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
54%Possession46%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
1.26xG for1.11
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
1.19xG against1.47
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

Shooting quality

Fortaleza CEIF: BalancedJaguares de Córdoba: Balanced
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
Accuracy (shots on target)30%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortaleza CEIF
DWLLW
Season result split
26% W37% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-7
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Jaguares de Córdoba
WLLDW
Season result split
26% W16% R58% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-11
0.95 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-7
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fortaleza CEIF is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.05 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba

Fortaleza CEIF is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.42 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.74 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba

Fortaleza CEIF scoring profile: very strong

Fortaleza CEIF scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Jaguares de Córdoba keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).

Jaguares de Córdoba scoring profile: very strong

Jaguares de Córdoba scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).

22Goals scored (season)20
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
27Goals conceded (season)33
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
2.58Average goals in match2.79
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
6Goals scored (last 5)8
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal74%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
32%2 goals26%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
0%3 goals5%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
0%4 goals0%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal79%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
37%2 goals58%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
11%3 goals26%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
11%4 goals5%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
Jaguares de Córdoba - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 19 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time21%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
5%BTTS in both halves11%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
26%Scored in both halves16%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
60%BTTS - last 560%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Jaguares de Córdoba is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.79 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 0.89 pts / match - Jaguares de Córdoba

Fortaleza CEIF - half-time state
11% leading47% draw42% trailing
Jaguares de Córdoba - half-time state
16% leading42% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.79Points per match (1st half)0.89
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.37
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.16
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
37%Clean sheet before half-time42%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
63%No goal before half-time63%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.95
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.63
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
47%Clean sheet after half-time32%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba
26%No goal after half-time47%
Fortaleza CEIFJaguares de Córdoba

Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results

42% W32% R26% P
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding236%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Jaguares de Córdoba - second-half results

26% W32% R42% P
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fortaleza CEIF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Jaguares de Córdoba - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fortaleza CEIF
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
2
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
5
46-60
1
3
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Jaguares de Córdoba
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
3
31-45
5
6
46-60
2
5
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.68
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fortaleza CEIF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
45% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
45%

Jaguares de Córdoba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Fortaleza CEIFLigaJaguares de Córdoba
Average goals in match 2.582.53 2.79
Both teams scored 74%53% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%48% 53%
Clean sheets 16%27% 21%
Goal before half-time 74%70% 74%
Goal after half-time 89%78% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.53
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+64%
Home attack advantage
+39%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

The Categoria Primera A match finished Fortaleza CEIF 2:1 Jaguares de Córdoba. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Fortaleza CEIF score 1.16 goals per game on average and Jaguares de Córdoba 1.05. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Fortaleza CEIF's matches and 53% of Jaguares de Córdoba's.

What form are Fortaleza CEIF and Jaguares de Córdoba in?

Over the last 5 games Fortaleza CEIF have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Jaguares de Córdoba 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

The statistical background for Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.