Fortaleza CEIF vs Llaneros: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely even, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Both teams present identical form in the last five matches (0.8 points per match, record 1-1-3) and a similar season record (1 win and 1 draw each without defeat). Fortaleza CEIF has the advantage in possession (59% vs 39%) and slightly better xG at home (1.39 vs 1.23 xG for the guests, Llaneros), however, Llaneros demonstrates higher shooting efficiency (15% vs 9%) and a better goal difference in away matches (+2 difference vs +1 for the hosts). A key factor is that both squads have maintained 100% clean sheets in their respective home/away matches this season, suggesting a defensive nature to the encounter. Taking into account all statistics and the very similar capabilities of both teams, a draw seems the most logical result, though the slight home advantage for Fortaleza CEIF cannot be completely ignored.
Fortaleza CEIF vs Llaneros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fortaleza CEIF play Llaneros in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 28 January 2026 at 00:20. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Fortaleza CEIF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Llaneros: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.16 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Llaneros scores 0.89 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fortaleza CEIF 74%, Llaneros 47%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza CEIF 47%, Llaneros 21%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Fortaleza CEIF has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.12. Fortaleza CEIF: 12.0 shots per match, Llaneros: 10.1.
Match halves
Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.79. Llaneros: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (10 goals). Llaneros: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The match promises to be extremely even, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Both teams present identical form in the last five matches (0.8 points per match, record 1-1-3) and a similar season record (1 win and 1 draw each without defeat). Fortaleza CEIF has the advantage in possession (59% vs 39%) and slightly better xG at home (1.39 vs 1.23 xG for the guests, Llaneros), however, Llaneros demonstrates higher shooting efficiency (15% vs 9%) and a better goal difference in away matches (+2 difference vs +1 for the hosts). A key factor is that both squads have maintained 100% clean sheets in their respective home/away matches this season, suggesting a defensive nature to the encounter. Taking into account all statistics and the very similar capabilities of both teams, a draw seems the most logical result, though the slight home advantage for Fortaleza CEIF cannot be completely ignored.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fortaleza CEIF | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza CEIF is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1 pts / match - Llaneros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fortaleza CEIF is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 0.89 goals / match - Llaneros
Llaneros is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.05 goals / match - Llaneros
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Llaneros keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Llaneros scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fortaleza CEIF
Over / Under — Llaneros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Llaneros is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF · 1.05 pts / match - Llaneros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Llaneros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fortaleza CEIF
Llaneros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Fortaleza CEIF | Liga | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.53 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fortaleza CEIF 1 - 1 - 0 Llaneros. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortaleza CEIF vs Llaneros?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Fortaleza CEIF 1:1 Llaneros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortaleza CEIF and Llaneros?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fortaleza CEIF won 1, Llaneros won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza CEIF vs Llaneros?
Fortaleza CEIF score 1.16 goals per game on average and Llaneros 0.89. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Fortaleza CEIF's matches and 47% of Llaneros's.
What form are Fortaleza CEIF and Llaneros in?
Over the last 5 games Fortaleza CEIF have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Llaneros 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza CEIF vs Llaneros?
The statistical background for Fortaleza CEIF vs Llaneros — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.