Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fortaleza played Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Fortaleza: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fortaleza scores 1.09 and concedes 1.51 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.09 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fortaleza 49%, Atlético Mineiro 43%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza 46%, Atlético Mineiro 37%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.38. Fortaleza: 13.1 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 14.6.

Match halves

Fortaleza: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.54. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Fortaleza: 61-75 (9 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

34Possession (%)66
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
15Shots9
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
4Shots on target4
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.58xG1.34
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
9Corners2
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
50Dangerous attacks65
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
9Fouls10
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0Cards1
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.09Goals scored / match1.09
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.51Goals conceded / match1.14
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
45%Average possession53%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
4.31Shots on target / match4.37
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.14Shots per match14.6
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
4.31Shots on target4.37
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
8.3%Shot conversion7.4%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
45%Possession53%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.38xG for1.54
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.51xG against1.34
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Shooting quality

Fortaleza: BalancedAtlético Mineiro: Attacking
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
Accuracy (shots on target)33%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortaleza is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro

Fortaleza
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
26% W29% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-16
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-8
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Atlético Mineiro
WWDLD
Season result split
31% W34% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-12-12
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-11
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Mineiro is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.51 goals / match - Fortaleza · 1.14 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro

Fortaleza scoring profile: strong

Fortaleza scores in 66% of matches (23 of 35 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).

Atlético Mineiro scoring profile: strong

Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (22 of 35 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 matches).

38Goals scored (season)38
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
53Goals conceded (season)40
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
2.6Average goals in match2.23
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
10Goals scored (last 5)11
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

How often they score at least...

66%1 goal63%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
26%2 goals29%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
11%3 goals14%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
3%4 goals3%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal66%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
46%2 goals37%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
17%3 goals11%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
9%4 goals0%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
Atlético Mineiro - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 35 matches
48%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time9%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0%BTTS in both halves3%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
14%Scored in both halves14%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
80%BTTS - last 560%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time51%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortaleza - half-time state
34% leading20% draw46% trailing
Atlético Mineiro - half-time state
23% leading57% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.23Points per match (1st half)1.26
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.37
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.34
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.26Average goals (1st half)0.71
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
46%Clean sheet before half-time71%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
54%No goal before half-time69%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per match (2nd half)1.14
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
1.34Average goals (2nd half)1.51
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
46%Clean sheet after half-time46%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro
66%No goal after half-time54%
FortalezaAtlético Mineiro

Fortaleza - second-half results

23% W37% D40% L
43
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Mineiro - second-half results

23% W46% D31% L
44
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fortaleza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Atlético Mineiro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.4
Average goals in match0.83.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fortaleza
ScoredConceded
7
10
0-15
6
5
16-30
6
10
31-45
4
9
46-60
9
7
61-75
6
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Atlético Mineiro
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
2
5
16-30
5
4
31-45
4
12
46-60
8
4
61-75
13
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+148%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fortaleza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
154%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Atlético Mineiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

FortalezaLigaAtlético Mineiro
Average goals in match 2.602.49 2.23
Both teams scored 49%48% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 46%45% 37%
Clean sheets 26%30% 34%
Goal before half-time 86%70% 51%
Goal after half-time 71%75% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
0.98
Away goals / match
+54%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Atlético MineiroSubstitutionOn: Gabriel Teixeira AragãoOff: Givanildo Vieira de Souza
  2. FortalezaSubstitutionOn: Moises Vieira da VeigaOff: Tomás Pochettino
  3. Atlético MineiroYellow cardJúnior Osmar Ignacio Alonso Mujica

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Davi de Oliveira LacerdaMatches officiated: 30
4.37Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 247%Home wins37%Draws17%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Fortaleza 0 - 1 - 0 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

CA Mineiro
3 : 3
Fortaleza EC

FAQ

What was the result of Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro?

The Serie A match finished Fortaleza 1:0 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro?

Fortaleza score 1.09 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.09. The Serie A average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Fortaleza's matches and 43% of Atlético Mineiro's.

What form are Fortaleza and Atlético Mineiro in?

Over the last 5 games Fortaleza have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro?

The statistical background for Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.