Fortaleza vs Londrina: match statistics
Fortaleza vs Londrina: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fortaleza played Londrina in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Fortaleza: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Londrina: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fortaleza scores 1.22 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Londrina scores 1.33 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fortaleza 44%, Londrina 67%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza 56%, Londrina 78%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.30. Fortaleza: 13.2 shots per match, Londrina: 12.2.
Match halves
Fortaleza: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Londrina: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Fortaleza: 76-90+ (4 goals). Londrina: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fortaleza holds a clear home advantage: they win 75% of home matches, score an average of 2.25 goals per game and have a goal difference of +5, conceding 1.00 on average. In attack the hosts average 14.25 shots and 4.75 on target per game with a 16% conversion rate and xG 1.47, whereas Londrina on the road averages 11.8 shots and 3.8 on target with a 14% conversion rate and xG 1.27. The visitors have notable defensive issues: they concede 1.6 goals away, have xG against 1.74 and have shipped 8 goals in their last 5 matches; additionally Londrina failed to score in 40% of away games and have 0% clean sheets on the road. Form trends confirm the home side’s superiority — Fortaleza are dwww in their last 4 home matches (3 wins and a draw), while Londrina’s away form is 'wlllw' with three defeats in their last five away fixtures; over the last 5 matches PPG is 1.0 for the hosts vs 0.8 for the visitors. Considering better efficiency (16% vs 14%), more shots on target (4.75 vs 3.8) and superior xG (1.47 vs 1.27), I expect a Fortaleza victory; I assess probabilities at 70% for the home win, 18% for a draw and 12% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Fortaleza has a season BTTS rate of 75% versus Londrina's 60%; both are above the league baseline of 50%, indicating a propensity for games where both teams score. Londrina has recorded no clean sheets this season (0%) and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match; in the last 5 fixtures they conceded 8 goals (1.6 per game), which elevates opponents' scoring chances. Fortaleza posts xG_for 1.34 and averages 12.75 shots (3.0 on target) with an 8% conversion, while Londrina has xG_for 1.27, 11.8 shots (3.8 on target) and a higher conversion of 14% — both teams create and are capable of converting chances. Additionally, matches over 2.5 goals account for 75% for Fortaleza and 80% for Londrina, and the home-side combination of over 2.5 + BTTS is 75%, confirming a tendency toward both-teams-to-score outcomes. Considering these figures (75% vs 60% BTTS, Londrina 0% clean sheets, xG and shot metrics), I assess BTTS probability at 72% (Yes) vs 28% (No) and recommend a 'Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams show a strong tendency toward high-scoring matches: Fortaleza has season Over1.5 in 75% and Over2.5 in 75% of games, while Londrina records 80% and 80% respectively. Estimated xG, calculated as the average of each team’s attack and the opponent’s defense, yields about 1.54 xG for the home side ((1.34+1.74)/2) and 1.31 for the visitors ((1.27+1.35)/2), totaling 2.85 expected goals. BTTS rates are 75% for Fortaleza and 60% for Londrina, and the combination of over-2.5 and BTTS occurs for the home team in 75% and for the visitors in 60% of cases, which increases the likelihood of at least three goals. Additionally, shot volumes (12.75 for Fortaleza and 11.8 for Londrina) and Londrina’s higher conversion rate of 14% versus the home side’s 8% suggest that the projected xG is likely to convert into actual goals. Based on this, I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest signal (Over 2.5: 70% probability), with overall probabilities of Over 1.5 = 85% and Over 3.5 = 35%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
My recommendation is a Half-Time/Full-Time draw at the break and an away win at full-time (X/2). Fortaleza drew at the break in 50% of their home matches, while Londrina led at the break in only 20% of cases, so the most likely score at the break is a draw. In the second half the statistics favor the visitors: Londrina scores on average 1.4 goals after the break and their matches feature an average of 2.2 second-half goals, whereas Fortaleza registers only 0.5 goals scored in the second half and 1.5 on average in second halves. Londrina win 40% of matches versus Fortaleza’s 0% home win rate, and a shot conversion rate of 14% versus 8% gives the visitors an advantage in converting chances; additionally the visitors score frequently late (4 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 1 for the hosts). Both teams do however often feature in BTTS (75% for Fortaleza and 60% for Londrina), which increases the probability of goals after the break and a turnaround with Londrina taking the lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fortaleza | Londrina | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Fortaleza · 0.8 pts / match - Londrina
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Londrina is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Fortaleza · 1.33 goals / match - Londrina
Fortaleza is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Fortaleza · 1.67 goals / match - Londrina
Fortaleza scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Londrina keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Londrina scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fortaleza
Over / Under - Londrina
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortaleza is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Fortaleza · 1 pts / match - Londrina
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortaleza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Londrina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fortaleza
Londrina
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Fortaleza | Liga | Londrina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.24 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 42% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 32% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortaleza vs Londrina?
The Serie B match finished Fortaleza 3:0 Londrina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza vs Londrina?
Fortaleza score 1.22 goals per game on average and Londrina 1.33. The Serie B average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Fortaleza's matches and 67% of Londrina's.
What form are Fortaleza and Londrina in?
Over the last 5 games Fortaleza have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Londrina 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza vs Londrina?
The statistical background for Fortaleza vs Londrina — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.