Fortaleza vs Novorizontino: match statistics
Fortaleza vs Novorizontino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fortaleza play Novorizontino in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 18 July 2026 at 02:00. Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Fortaleza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Novorizontino: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fortaleza scores 1.16 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Novorizontino scores 1.47 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fortaleza 37%, Novorizontino 47%. Over 2.5: Fortaleza 47%, Novorizontino 53%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Novorizontino has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.52. Fortaleza: 14.3 shots per match, Novorizontino: 14.7.
Match halves
Fortaleza: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.68. Novorizontino: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Fortaleza: 76-90+ (9 goals). Novorizontino: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I predict a home win (Fortaleza) — the team has a strong home record: 75% home wins, averaging 2.0 goals scored per match, xG 1.75 and 5.75 shots on target. Novorizontino sits 4th and has better overall attacking numbers this season (28 goals vs 20 for Fortaleza) and 10 goals in the last 5 matches, translating to an average of 2.0 points in that run. Away, however, the visitors average only 1.56 goals with 4.33 shots on target, while conceding just 0.78 goals and keeping 56% clean sheets, which increases the likelihood of a low score and a draw. Key comparisons are the greater volume of shots and higher xG for the home side (16 vs 12.11 shots and 1.75 vs 1.31 xG) versus the visitors’ superior actual defense (0.78 vs 1.0 goals conceded), so I assign 52% to a Fortaleza win, 26% to a draw and 22% to a Novorizontino victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fortaleza | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza · 1.2 pts / match - Novorizontino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza · 1.47 goals / match - Novorizontino
Novorizontino is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Fortaleza · 0.95 goals / match - Novorizontino
Fortaleza scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Novorizontino scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fortaleza
Over / Under — Novorizontino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortaleza is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Fortaleza · 1.16 pts / match - Novorizontino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortaleza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fortaleza
Novorizontino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Fortaleza | Liga | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.16 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 48% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 31% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortaleza vs Novorizontino?
The Serie B match finished Fortaleza 1:0 Novorizontino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortaleza vs Novorizontino?
Fortaleza score 1.16 goals per game on average and Novorizontino 1.47. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Fortaleza's matches and 47% of Novorizontino's.
What form are Fortaleza and Novorizontino in?
Over the last 5 games Fortaleza have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Novorizontino 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortaleza vs Novorizontino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.