Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn: match statistics
Paderborn are displaying significantly higher form and quality this season, sitting in 3rd place in the table with a 56% away win rate, while Fortuna Düsseldorf are in 16th place with only a 30% win rate at home. The offensive statistics clearly favor the visitors – Paderborn score an average of 1.44 goals per away match with 5.11 shots on target, while the hosts net only 0.9 goals with 3.5 shots on target in home games. Paderborn's defense is also much more solid, conceding an average of 0.78 goals away (44% clean sheets) compared to 1.5 goals conceded by Fortuna at home. The form from the last five matches confirms the visitors' superiority (2.0 points per game vs 1.2 for the hosts), and the difference in expected goals (xG 1.64 vs 1.38) indicates a higher quality of chances created by Paderborn. Considering all these factors, an away win seems the most likely scenario, although Fortuna's poor home form could also lead to a draw.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fortuna Düsseldorf played Paderborn in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Fortuna Düsseldorf: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Paderborn: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fortuna Düsseldorf scores 0.89 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Paderborn scores 1.58 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fortuna Düsseldorf 53%, Paderborn 58%. Over 2.5: Fortuna Düsseldorf 53%, Paderborn 58%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Paderborn has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.37. Fortuna Düsseldorf: 12.6 shots per match, Paderborn: 16.6.
Match halves
Fortuna Düsseldorf: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.58. Paderborn: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Fortuna Düsseldorf: 61-75 (5 goals). Paderborn: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn are displaying significantly higher form and quality this season, sitting in 3rd place in the table with a 56% away win rate, while Fortuna Düsseldorf are in 16th place with only a 30% win rate at home. The offensive statistics clearly favor the visitors – Paderborn score an average of 1.44 goals per away match with 5.11 shots on target, while the hosts net only 0.9 goals with 3.5 shots on target in home games. Paderborn's defense is also much more solid, conceding an average of 0.78 goals away (44% clean sheets) compared to 1.5 goals conceded by Fortuna at home. The form from the last five matches confirms the visitors' superiority (2.0 points per game vs 1.2 for the hosts), and the difference in expected goals (xG 1.64 vs 1.38) indicates a higher quality of chances created by Paderborn. Considering all these factors, an away win seems the most likely scenario, although Fortuna's poor home form could also lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paderborn is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1.4 pts / match - Paderborn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1.58 goals / match - Paderborn
Paderborn is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1.11 goals / match - Paderborn
Fortuna Düsseldorf scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Paderborn scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Fortuna Düsseldorf keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fortuna Düsseldorf
Over / Under - Paderborn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Fortuna Düsseldorf · 1.26 pts / match - Paderborn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortuna Düsseldorf - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Paderborn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | Liga | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 57% | • 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 - 0 - 0 Paderborn. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 Paderborn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn?
Fortuna Düsseldorf score 0.89 goals per game on average and Paderborn 1.58. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Fortuna Düsseldorf's matches and 58% of Paderborn's.
What form are Fortuna Düsseldorf and Paderborn in?
Over the last 5 games Fortuna Düsseldorf have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paderborn 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.