Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II: match statistics

Stuttgart II have a clear advantage based on the only away match played so far: they won it, scored an average of 3 goals, and created chances worth 2.27 xG. Fortuna Düsseldorf have lost both matches this season and are still without a home goal despite 19 shots and an xG of 1.78, indicating very poor finishing. The visitors average 9 shots on target away from home compared with 3 for the hosts, while also enjoying greater possession at 59% to 46%. Both defences concede 2 goals per match in their respective home and away conditions, so Fortuna may have a chance to score; however, Stuttgart II’s superior attacking quality and efficiency point towards an away win. In their last five matches, the visitors have scored 16 goals, while the hosts have conceded 13, further strengthening the case for the “2” selection.

The signal for goals from both sides is very strong, as the seasonal BTTS rate stands at 100% for both Fortuna Düsseldorf and Stuttgart II, compared with the league average of 65%. The hosts have not kept a clean sheet once and concede an average of 3.0 goals, while the visitors also have a 0% clean-sheet rate and concede 2.0 goals on average. In their last five matches, Fortuna scored 1.2 goals and conceded 2.6, whereas Stuttgart II scored as many as 3.2 goals but allowed opponents 3.0 goals. The visitors’ attacking potential is confirmed by an xG of 1.95 and an average of 9 shots on target, while Fortuna should exploit the weakness of a defense that allows 1.42 xG. The BTTS - Yes scenario is clearly more likely than BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team fails to score.

The profiles of both teams clearly point towards goals: each has exceeded 1.5 goals in 100% of their matches so far. In their last five games, Fortuna averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded, while Stuttgart II scored 3.2 goals per match and conceded 3.0. The visitors also create significantly more danger, recording an xG of 1.95 in their last five appearances and averaging 9 shots on target, compared with Fortuna’s 5. Both teams recorded goals for both sides in at least 80% of their recent matches, while their games finished with Over 2.5 goals in 80% and 100% of cases, respectively. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, as even a cautious projection of 3.45 goals provides a very substantial margin above this line.

Stuttgart II have the stronger attacking potential: they average 3.0 goals per match compared with Fortuna’s 1.0, while their xG stands at 2.27 versus the hosts’ 1.55. The visitors average 20 shots and 9 on target, whereas Fortuna record 15 and 5 respectively, with a conversion rate of 15% compared with 7%. In their last five matches, Düsseldorf have failed to score before half-time on every occasion and were trailing at the break in each of them, while Stuttgart II averaged 0.8 first-half goals. The visitors’ advantage should be maintained after the break, as they averaged 2.4 goals in the second half across their last five matches, while Fortuna conceded an average of 1.4; therefore, the most likely scenario is Stuttgart II leading at the break and securing the win at full-time (1/1).