Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: match statistics
Fortuna Sittard displays a clear advantage in home matches, where they achieve a 45% win rate and maintain a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per home game, which, with the support of their fans, provides them with a solid foundation for success. Excelsior performs significantly worse as visitors, losing 45% of their away matches and recording a negative goal difference (-11). The away side struggles offensively on the road, scoring only 1.09 goals on average, and additionally, in 27% of matches, they fail to find the back of the net. The recent form of both teams is similar, but the home advantage and xG statistics (1.57 vs 1.25) speak in Fortuna's favor. Taking all factors into account, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the even form in the last five matches.
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fortuna Sittard played Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Fortuna Sittard: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Excelsior: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fortuna Sittard scores 1.48 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Excelsior scores 1.09 and concedes 1.70. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fortuna Sittard 74%, Excelsior 61%. Over 2.5: Fortuna Sittard 65%, Excelsior 61%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Fortuna Sittard has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.27. Fortuna Sittard: 12.6 shots per match, Excelsior: 11.4.
Match halves
Fortuna Sittard: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74. Excelsior: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Fortuna Sittard: 76-90+ (10 goals). Excelsior: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fortuna Sittard displays a clear advantage in home matches, where they achieve a 45% win rate and maintain a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per home game, which, with the support of their fans, provides them with a solid foundation for success. Excelsior performs significantly worse as visitors, losing 45% of their away matches and recording a negative goal difference (-11). The away side struggles offensively on the road, scoring only 1.09 goals on average, and additionally, in 27% of matches, they fail to find the back of the net. The recent form of both teams is similar, but the home advantage and xG statistics (1.57 vs 1.25) speak in Fortuna's favor. Taking all factors into account, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the even form in the last five matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Excelsior is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.2 pts / match - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fortuna Sittard is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.09 goals / match - Excelsior
Excelsior is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.7 goals / match - Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Excelsior scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fortuna Sittard
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard · 1.43 pts / match - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortuna Sittard - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Fortuna Sittard | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.30 | 3.22 | ▼ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 62% | • 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 19% | ▲ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 96% | 82% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 85% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fortuna Sittard 0 - 0 - 1 Excelsior. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match finished Fortuna Sittard 2:1 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.48 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.09. The Eredivisie average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Fortuna Sittard's matches and 61% of Excelsior's.
What form are Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games Fortuna Sittard have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Excelsior 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
The statistical background for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.