United States - USL League OneData current as of 23 July 2026

Forward Madison vs Naples: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Forward Madison vs Naples: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Forward Madison play Naples in USL League One (United States). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 01:00.

Current form

Forward Madison: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Naples: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Forward Madison scores 1.86 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Naples scores 1.06 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Forward Madison 50%, Naples 41%. Over 2.5: Forward Madison 57%, Naples 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Forward Madison has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.45. Forward Madison: 12.8 shots per match, Naples: 12.0.

Match halves

Forward Madison: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 0.71. Naples: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.59.

Goals by minute

Forward Madison: 16-30 (9 goals). Naples: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Forward MadisonNaples
1.86Goals scored / match1.06
Forward MadisonNaples
1Goals conceded / match1.59
Forward MadisonNaples
47%Average possession53%
Forward MadisonNaples
4.71Shots on target / match3.88
Forward MadisonNaples

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.79Shots per match12
Forward MadisonNaples
4.71Shots on target3.88
Forward MadisonNaples
14.5%Shot conversion8.8%
Forward MadisonNaples
47%Possession53%
Forward MadisonNaples
1.49xG for1.45
Forward MadisonNaples
1.3xG against1.4
Forward MadisonNaples

Shooting quality

Forward Madison: Counter-attackingNaples: Balanced
Forward MadisonNaples
Accuracy (shots on target)37%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Forward Madison
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W14% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-4
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Naples
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W12% R59% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-10
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-6
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forward Madison is 75% better for: goals scored per match.

1.86 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.06 goals / match - Naples

Forward Madison is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.59 goals / match - Naples

Forward Madison scoring profile: very strong

Forward Madison scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Naples keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

Naples scoring profile: strong

Naples scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

26Goals scored (season)18
Forward MadisonNaples
14Goals conceded (season)27
Forward MadisonNaples
2.86Average goals in match2.65
Forward MadisonNaples
14Goals scored (last 5)6
Forward MadisonNaples
3Goals conceded (last 5)14
Forward MadisonNaples

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal71%
Forward MadisonNaples
50%2 goals29%
Forward MadisonNaples
36%3 goals6%
Forward MadisonNaples
14%4 goals0%
Forward MadisonNaples

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal71%
Forward MadisonNaples
21%2 goals47%
Forward MadisonNaples
7%3 goals24%
Forward MadisonNaples
0%4 goals12%
Forward MadisonNaples

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time12%
Forward MadisonNaples
0%BTTS in both halves12%
Forward MadisonNaples
36%Scored in both halves24%
Forward MadisonNaples

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
Forward MadisonNaples
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Forward MadisonNaples
60%BTTS - last 560%
Forward MadisonNaples

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

93%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Forward MadisonNaples
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Forward MadisonNaples
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Forward MadisonNaples

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Forward MadisonNaples
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Forward MadisonNaples
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Forward MadisonNaples

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forward Madison is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.07 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1.35 pts / match - Naples

Forward Madison - half-time state
64% leading14% draw21% trailing
Naples - half-time state
35% leading29% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.07Points per match (1st half)1.35
Forward MadisonNaples
1.14Goals scored (1st half)0.47
Forward MadisonNaples
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
Forward MadisonNaples
1.64Average goals (1st half)1.06
Forward MadisonNaples
64%Clean sheet before half-time53%
Forward MadisonNaples
21%No goal before half-time53%
Forward MadisonNaples

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)0.88
Forward MadisonNaples
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
Forward MadisonNaples
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Forward MadisonNaples
1.21Average goals (2nd half)1.59
Forward MadisonNaples
57%Clean sheet after half-time41%
Forward MadisonNaples
64%No goal after half-time53%
Forward MadisonNaples

Forward Madison - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
29
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Naples - second-half results

18% W35% R47% P
23
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forward Madison - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.60
Goals scored / match1.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+7+4
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7
Naples - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.82.0
Average goals in match1.22.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Forward Madison
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
9
5
16-30
5
0
31-45
2
4
46-60
5
0
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Naples
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
0
6
46-60
3
3
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Forward Madison

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Naples

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

Forward MadisonLigaNaples
Average goals in match 2.862.85 2.65
Both teams scored 50%55% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%59% 41%
Clean sheets 29%26% 29%
Goal before half-time 93%73% 82%
Goal after half-time 64%80% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.12
Away goals / match
+54%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+30%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Forward Madison 1 - 1 - 1 Naples. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Naples
0 : 1
Forward Madison
Forward Madison FC
0 : 0
FC Naples
FC Naples
2 : 0
Forward Madison FC

FAQ

When do Forward Madison and Naples play?

Forward Madison face Naples on 25 July 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Forward Madison and Naples?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 1, Naples won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Forward Madison vs Naples?

Forward Madison score 1.86 goals per game on average and Naples 1.06. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Forward Madison's matches and 41% of Naples's.

What form are Forward Madison and Naples in?

Over the last 5 games Forward Madison have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Naples 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forward Madison vs Naples?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Forward Madison vs Naples: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.