United States - USL League OneData current as of 31 August 2026

Forward Madison vs One Knoxville: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Forward Madison vs One Knoxville: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Forward Madison play One Knoxville in USL League One (United States). The match date is 3 September 2026.

Current form

Forward Madison: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. One Knoxville: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Forward Madison scores 1.95 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. One Knoxville scores 1.68 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Forward Madison 64%, One Knoxville 68%. Over 2.5: Forward Madison 59%, One Knoxville 68%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

One Knoxville has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.62. Forward Madison: 13.7 shots per match, One Knoxville: 14.2.

Match halves

Forward Madison: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 0.86. One Knoxville: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.95.

Goals by minute

Forward Madison: 16-30 (11 goals). One Knoxville: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL League One: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
1.95Goals scored / match1.68
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
1.05Goals conceded / match1.14
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
49%Average possession54%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
5.23Shots on target / match5.36
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.73Shots per match14.18
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
5.23Shots on target5.36
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
14.2%Shot conversion11.9%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
49%Possession54%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
1.62xG for1.7
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
1.38xG against1.43
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

Shooting quality

Forward Madison: Efficient finishingOne Knoxville: Attacking
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
Accuracy (shots on target)38%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Forward Madison is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1.2 pts / match - One Knoxville

Forward Madison
LDWDW
Season result split
59% W18% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-4-5
1.95 pts / match · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
One Knoxville
LWDDD
Season result split
50% W27% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-5
1.77 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forward Madison is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.95 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.68 goals / match - One Knoxville

Forward Madison is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.05 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.14 goals / match - One Knoxville

Forward Madison scoring profile: very strong

Forward Madison scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).

One Knoxville scoring profile: very strong

One Knoxville scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).

43Goals scored (season)37
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
23Goals conceded (season)25
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
3Average goals in match2.82
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal86%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
55%2 goals59%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
32%3 goals18%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
14%4 goals5%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal73%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
23%2 goals32%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
5%3 goals9%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
0%4 goals0%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time32%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
45%Scored in both halves27%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS59%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
100%BTTS - last 5100%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

95%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forward Madison is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.05 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1.36 pts / match - One Knoxville

Forward Madison - half-time state
64% leading14% draw23% trailing
One Knoxville - half-time state
23% leading68% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.05Points per match (1st half)1.36
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
1.09Goals scored (1st half)0.68
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
1.64Average goals (1st half)1.09
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
59%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
23%No goal before half-time55%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)1.68
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.95
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.55
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
55%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville
45%No goal after half-time36%
Forward MadisonOne Knoxville

Forward Madison - second-half results

36% W45% R18% P
45
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding92%

Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 59%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

One Knoxville - second-half results

45% W32% R23% P
30
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding217%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forward Madison - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
One Knoxville - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Forward Madison
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
11
6
16-30
9
2
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
0
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

One Knoxville
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
7
5
16-30
5
4
31-45
8
3
46-60
2
6
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Forward Madison

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

One Knoxville

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

Forward MadisonLigaOne Knoxville
Average goals in match 3.002.96 2.82
Both teams scored 64%59% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%61% 68%
Clean sheets 23%23% 27%
Goal before half-time 95%73% 50%
Goal after half-time 73%81% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+29%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Forward Madison 1 - 2 - 0 One Knoxville. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

One Knoxville
1 : 2
Forward Madison
Forward Madison FC
2 : 2
One Knoxville SC
One Knoxville SC
1 : 1
Forward Madison FC

FAQ

When do Forward Madison and One Knoxville play?

Forward Madison face One Knoxville on 3 September 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Forward Madison and One Knoxville?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 1, One Knoxville won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Forward Madison vs One Knoxville?

Forward Madison score 1.95 goals per game on average and One Knoxville 1.68. The USL League One average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Forward Madison's matches and 68% of One Knoxville's.

What form are Forward Madison and One Knoxville in?

Over the last 5 games Forward Madison have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and One Knoxville 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forward Madison vs One Knoxville?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.