Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
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Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forward Madison play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 12 September 2026.
Current form
Forward Madison: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forward Madison scores 1.92 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 1.08 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forward Madison 63%, Sarasota Paradise 63%. Over 2.5: Forward Madison 54%, Sarasota Paradise 54%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Forward Madison has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.44. Forward Madison: 14.3 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.4.
Match halves
Forward Madison: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 0.92. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Forward Madison: 16-30 (11 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forward Madison | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forward Madison is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1.6 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.08 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Forward Madison is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Forward Madison · 1.58 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Forward Madison scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forward Madison
Over / Under - Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.96 pts / match - Forward Madison · 1.17 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forward Madison
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Forward Madison | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.92 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 60% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Forward Madison 1 - 0 - 0 Sarasota Paradise. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Forward Madison and Sarasota Paradise play?
Forward Madison face Sarasota Paradise on 12 September 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
Forward Madison score 1.92 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 1.08. The USL League One average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Forward Madison's matches and 63% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Forward Madison and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Forward Madison have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
The statistical background for Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.