Fram vs Breidablik: match statistics
Fram vs Breidablik: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fram played Breidablik in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 29 May 2026. Venue: Laugardalsvöllur. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Fram: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Breidablik: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fram scores 2.63 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Breidablik scores 2.38 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fram 75%, Breidablik 63%. Over 2.5: Fram 75%, Breidablik 63%. League level: BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
Fram has higher xG: 2.06 vs 1.72. Fram: 17.4 shots per match, Breidablik: 14.9.
Match halves
Fram: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.75. Breidablik: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Fram: 76-90+ (7 goals). Breidablik: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.84 goals per match, BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fram is the favorite: at home they score an average of 3.5 goals per game (21 goals this season, home goal difference +7) and have a 75% home win rate with 0% defeats, confirming domestic dominance. In the last 5 matches Fram scored 15 goals and averages 2.6 points per game; they also register 6.5 shots on target per game with a 20% conversion rate, versus Breidablik averaging 3.25 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate on the road. Home xG for Fram is 2.09 compared to away xG for the visitors of 1.40, indicating Fram generates significantly more high-quality chances; the visitors do concede only 1.25 goals on average away but also score just 1.25 goals and fail to score in 25% of away matches. Additionally, Fram’s home games average 5.25 goals per match, while Breidablik’s away fixtures average 2.5 goals total, so I expect an open game with a clear home advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS probability at 70% versus 30% for No Goal and tip BTTS - Yes. Breidablik has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75% and BTTS occurred in 100% of their last 5 matches; in those five games the visitors scored 15 goals (avg 3.0) and conceded 11 (avg 2.2), indicating consistent goal exchange. Fram at home scores an average of 3.5 goals per game, averages 18.0 shots with 6.75 on target and has a high conversion rate of 19%; in the last 5 matches they scored 15 goals (3.0 avg) and had BTTS in 80% of fixtures. Although Fram kept a clean sheet in 50% of home matches (introducing risk of individual No Goal outcomes), Fram has not had a home match without scoring this season (0% matches without a goal) and the league BTTS percentage is 70%, so the overall data signal favors Both Teams To Score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics indicate a high goal-potential match: Fram averages 3.5 goals per game this season (xG 2.03), with 18.0 shots and 6.75 on target and a 19% conversion rate, while Breidablik records 1.25 goals (xG 1.40), 11.75 shots and 3.25 on target with an 11% conversion rate. Calculating expected goals as the average of home attack xG (2.03) and away defense xG (1.64) yields 1.84 xG for Fram, and averaging away attack xG (1.40) and home defense xG (1.63) gives 1.51 for Breidablik, summing to 3.35 expected goals. Additionally, in the last 5 matches both teams have scored 15 goals each (3.0 per team on average); Fram has 80% of matches Over 2.5 in the last 5, Breidablik 100%, and the league averages 3.84 goals per match. Season indicators confirm the offensive trend: Fram has 75% of matches Over 2.5 and 75% Over 3.5, while Breidablik has 50% Over 2.5 and 25% Over 3.5; BTTS is 50% for Fram and 75% for Breidablik. Therefore I recommend backing the Over line at 1.5 as the strongest and most reliable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Fram holds a clear offensive advantage: they average 3.5 goals at home versus Breidablik’s 1.25 away, and the average total goals in home matches is 5.0 compared to 2.5 for the visitors. At half-time Fram led in 4 of 4 home games (100%), scoring an average of 2.0 goals before the break and conceding only 0.5. Chance metrics reinforce this — home xG is 2.03 versus 1.4 for the away team, 6.75 shots on target against 3.25 and a conversion rate of 19% vs 11%, supporting a scenario of Fram taking an early lead. Breidablik, however, have scored in 75% of their away matches and show activity after the break (e.g. 2 goals in the 46–60 minute window), so there is a risk of a second-half equalizer. Based on this I project HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest signal (50%), with additional 20% support for X/1 and 21% combined for draw-based variants.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fram | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fram is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Fram · 2 pts / match - Breidablik
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fram is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
2.63 goals / match - Fram · 2.38 goals / match - Breidablik
Breidablik is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Fram · 1.38 goals / match - Breidablik
Fram scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Breidablik scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Fram keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fram
Over / Under - Breidablik
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Breidablik is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Fram · 2.13 pts / match - Breidablik
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fram - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Breidablik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fram
Breidablik
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Fram | Liga | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 3.84 | • 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 16% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 82% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Fram 1 - 1 - 1 Breidablik. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fram vs Breidablik?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Fram 4:3 Breidablik. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fram and Breidablik?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fram won 1, Breidablik won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fram vs Breidablik?
Fram score 2.63 goals per game on average and Breidablik 2.38. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Fram's matches and 63% of Breidablik's.
What form are Fram and Breidablik in?
Over the last 5 games Fram have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Breidablik 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fram vs Breidablik?
The statistical background for Fram vs Breidablik — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.