Fram vs Valur: match statistics
Fram vs Valur: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fram played Valur in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 8 May 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Fram: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Valur: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fram scores 3.00 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Valur scores 2.20 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fram 80%, Valur 80%. Over 2.5: Fram 80%, Valur 100%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 74%.
xG, shots and style
Fram has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.72. Fram: 16.6 shots per match, Valur: 14.2.
Match halves
Fram: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 2.20. Valur: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Fram: 76-90+ (5 goals). Valur: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.94 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 74%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fram holds an edge in chance quality and game control: home average xG is 1.84 versus Valur’s 1.51, and possession is 50% vs 38%. At home Fram averages 3.67 goals with 5.67 on-target shots and a 24% conversion rate, while Valur away averages 4.00 goals with 6.0 on-target shots and a higher conversion of ~29%. Defensively the hosts are more stable — Fram concedes 1.67 goals per home match with xG against 1.32, whereas Valur concedes 2.00 away with xG against 2.38, indicating greater risk from the visitors. Form is similar (Fram 3-1-1 in the last 5, averaging 2.0 points per game; Valur 3-0-2 averaging 1.8 points), but Fram remains unbeaten at home (0% losses, 67% wins), which favors the hosts. Considering Fram’s superior xG and game control I forecast a home win, though I expect an open, high-scoring game given average total goals of 5.33 for Fram and 6.0 for Valur.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes is that Valur has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% versus Fram's 75%, and in the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 80% (league average 73%), indicating a high probability of goals from both sides. Additionally Valur has zero clean sheets this season (0%) and Fram only 25% clean sheets, so the risk of a match with one side shut out is low. Offensively, Fram scores 1.75 and concedes 1.75 on average, while Valur scores 4.0 and concedes 2.0; xG shows Fram with xG_for 1.77 and xG_against 2.13, and Valur with xG_for 1.51 and xG_against 2.38, indicating both teams create and concede scoring chances. Furthermore Valur has higher efficiency (conversion rate 29% with 6.0 shots on target vs Fram’s 12% and 4.75 shots on target) and both teams have 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, which reinforces the Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a high-scoring game: I project approximately 2.08 xG for Fram and 1.82 xG for Valur, totaling ≈3.90. Both teams have extremely high goal-related profiles — seasonally both sides have 100% of matches Over 2.5 goals, and BTTS is 75% for Fram and 100% for Valur. Valur averages 4.0 goals per season and has a very high shot conversion rate of 29% (Fram 12%), with average shots on target 6.0 (Valur) vs 4.75 (Fram), which increases the likelihood of converting chances. The combined xG (Fram xG_for 1.77 vs Valur xG_against 2.38; Valur xG_for 1.51 vs Fram xG_against 2.13) supports the ~3.90 total and argues against a low-scoring outcome. For these reasons the strongest data signal is to play Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Valur is the clear favorite: they have won 100% of matches (winPercentage_away = 100.0) and average 4.0 goals per game, including 2.0 goals by half-time (seasonScoredAVG_away = 4.0, scoredAVGHT_away = 2.0). Fram led at the break in only 25% of cases (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 25.0) and average 1.25 goals by half-time (scoredAVGHT_home = 1.25), which limits the hosts’ chances of maintaining a lead. Despite the home side’s higher xG (xG 1.77 vs 1.51 for Valur), the visitors are much more efficient in conversion (shot_conversion_rate_away = 29.0 and shotsOnTargetAVG_away = 6.0), so the lower xG does not translate into fewer goals. Second-half statistics (AVG_2hg_away = 2.0 versus seasonConcededAVG_home = 1.75) and the fact Valur has 100% BTTS (seasonBTTSPercentage_away = 100.0) point toward a half-time draw with a Valur turnaround by full-time, therefore I select HT/FT = X/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fram | Valur | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fram is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Fram · 1.8 pts / match - Valur
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fram is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
3 goals / match - Fram · 2.2 goals / match - Valur
Fram scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Valur scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Fram keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fram
Over / Under - Valur
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fram is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Fram · 1.2 pts / match - Valur
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fram - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Valur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fram
Valur
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Fram | Liga | Valur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.80 | 3.94 | • 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▲ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Fram 2 - 0 - 1 Valur. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fram vs Valur?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Fram 3:2 Valur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fram and Valur?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fram won 2, Valur won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fram vs Valur?
Fram score 3.00 goals per game on average and Valur 2.20. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Fram's matches and 80% of Valur's.
What form are Fram and Valur in?
Over the last 5 games Fram have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Valur 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fram vs Valur?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fram vs Valur: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.