Francs Borains vs KRC Genk II: match statistics
Francs Borains vs KRC Genk II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Francs Borains played KRC Genk II in First Division B (Belgium). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Francs Borains: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. KRC Genk II: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Francs Borains scores 1.03 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. KRC Genk II scores 1.30 and concedes 1.87. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Francs Borains 33%, KRC Genk II 63%. Over 2.5: Francs Borains 37%, KRC Genk II 63%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
KRC Genk II has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.41. Francs Borains: 12.9 shots per match, KRC Genk II: 12.8.
Match halves
Francs Borains: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.73. KRC Genk II: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Francs Borains: 76-90+ (8 goals). KRC Genk II: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division B: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Francs Borains possess a significant home defensive edge: they concede on average 0.87 goals per home match, while KRC Genk II concede 1.93 goals away — a difference of over 1.0 goal per game. The hosts also produce more shots (14.33 per match and 4.07 on target at home) and have a higher average xG in home fixtures (1.54 vs 1.33 xG for Genk away), indicating higher-quality chance creation despite lower finishing efficiency (home conversion 7% vs 10% for the visitors). Form favors the hosts: Francs Borains have won 3 of their last 5 (3–0–2) and average 1.8 points per game in that span, while Genk II have won only 1 of their last 5 (1–3–1) and average 1.2 points. Season-long figures also show that although Genk II have scored 39 goals compared to Francs Borains’ 31, they have leaked 56 goals versus the hosts’ 41 (a 15-goal deficit), and the away clean sheet rate for the visitors is only 7% compared to 53% for the home side. Based on the defensive advantage, superior recent form and the favorable xG profile, I project a home win; estimated probabilities are 60% Francs Borains, 25% draw and 15% KRC Genk II win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have relatively high BTTS rates this season: Francs Borains 53% and KRC Genk II 73%, versus a league average of 54%, which favors the "both teams to score" scenario. Offensively and defensively the metrics are comparable: average goals scored 1.33 (home) vs 1.27 (away), average goals conceded 1.8 vs 1.93, and xG 1.52 vs 1.33, indicating both teams create and concede scoring chances. KRC Genk II have only 7% clean sheets (i.e., they concede in ~93% of matches), while Francs Borains have 27% clean sheets, which together imply a relatively low probability of a goalless match. The last 5 matches show some variance (BTTS 40% for Francs and 60% for Genk II), but shot statistics (avg. 13.6 and 12.07 shots, with 4.93 and 3.8 on target) and high over 2.5 rates (53% and 73%) further support the both teams to score scenario. Considering the above, I give a higher probability to BTTS - Yes at 70% vs No at 30%, because the season-long 53%/73%, high average goals conceded 1.8 and 1.93, and very low clean sheet rates 27% and 7% favor both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated expected goals are approximately 1.56 for Francs Borains (attacking xG 1.52 vs Genk II defense xG conceded 1.59 → average 1.56) and 1.51 for KRC Genk II (attacking xG 1.33 vs home defense xG conceded 1.70 → average 1.51), totaling ≈3.07 goals. A Poisson model for a total of 3.07 indicates probability of Over 1.5 around 81% and Over 2.5 around 59%, which aligns with seasonal indicators: Francs Borains have Over 1.5 in 87% and Over 2.5 in 53% of matches, while Genk II have 80% and 73% respectively. Additionally, both teams frequently record both teams to score — 53% (home) vs 73% (away), average 63% — and generate many chances: on average 13.6 and 12.07 shots and 4.93 and 3.80 shots on target with a 10% conversion for both. Based on this I estimate probabilities: Over 1.5 — 83% (Under 17%), Over 2.5 — 59% (Under 41%) and Over 3.5 — 37% (Under 63%). The strongest play signal is Over 1.5 (side: Over) due to the combined xG of 3.07, high seasonal Over 1.5 rate (~83.5% average) and combined BTTS rate of 63%, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I consider a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1) the most likely outcome. Francs Borains have been level at the break in 47% of their matches this season, while KRC Genk II were level at half-time in 60% of their last five games, so I estimate the probability of a draw at the break at around 55%. After the interval Francs Borains show superior form: in their last five matches the hosts have won 60% of games and score an average of 1.2 goals in second halves versus 0.6 for Genk II, indicating their effectiveness after the break. Additionally Francs Borains have a higher xG (1.52 vs 1.33) and a higher average of on-target shots (4.93 vs 3.8), hence the X/1 market appears the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Francs Borains | KRC Genk II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Francs Borains is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Francs Borains · 1.2 pts / match - KRC Genk II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KRC Genk II is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Francs Borains · 1.3 goals / match - KRC Genk II
Francs Borains is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Francs Borains · 1.87 goals / match - KRC Genk II
Francs Borains scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while KRC Genk II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
KRC Genk II scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Francs Borains keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Francs Borains
Over / Under - KRC Genk II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KRC Genk II is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Francs Borains · 1.07 pts / match - KRC Genk II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Francs Borains - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KRC Genk II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Francs Borains
KRC Genk II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division B).
Teams vs league
| Francs Borains | Liga | KRC Genk II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Francs Borains 0 - 0 - 1 KRC Genk II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Francs Borains vs KRC Genk II?
The First Division B match finished Francs Borains 2:2 KRC Genk II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Francs Borains vs KRC Genk II?
Francs Borains score 1.03 goals per game on average and KRC Genk II 1.30. The First Division B average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Francs Borains's matches and 63% of KRC Genk II's.
What form are Francs Borains and KRC Genk II in?
Over the last 5 games Francs Borains have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and KRC Genk II 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Francs Borains vs KRC Genk II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Francs Borains vs KRC Genk II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.