Fredericia vs AGF: match statistics
AGF, as the league leaders with a 67% away win rate and an impressive form streak, hold a decisive advantage over Fredericia, who sit in 11th place and have a high 67% home loss rate. The hosts average just 0.89 goals per home match while conceding 2.22 goals, resulting in a negative goal difference of -12 in home games. AGF have not only remained unbeaten in away matches this season, but also average 2.33 goals on the road with an 18% conversion rate and have never left the pitch without scoring (0% FTS). Fredericia have won only two of their last five home matches, whereas AGF have secured four victories and one draw in their last five away fixtures. The disparity in quality, form, and league position clearly points to an away win, although Fredericia may put up resistance on their home turf, which justifies some probability of a draw.
Fredericia vs AGF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fredericia played AGF in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Fredericia: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. AGF: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fredericia scores 1.32 and concedes 2.42 goals per match. AGF scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fredericia 58%, AGF 68%. Over 2.5: Fredericia 74%, AGF 58%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
AGF has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.23. Fredericia: 10.3 shots per match, AGF: 16.2.
Match halves
Fredericia: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.68. AGF: half-time lead 74%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Fredericia: 76-90+ (7 goals). AGF: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AGF, as the league leaders with a 67% away win rate and an impressive form streak, hold a decisive advantage over Fredericia, who sit in 11th place and have a high 67% home loss rate. The hosts average just 0.89 goals per home match while conceding 2.22 goals, resulting in a negative goal difference of -12 in home games. AGF have not only remained unbeaten in away matches this season, but also average 2.33 goals on the road with an 18% conversion rate and have never left the pitch without scoring (0% FTS). Fredericia have won only two of their last five home matches, whereas AGF have secured four victories and one draw in their last five away fixtures. The disparity in quality, form, and league position clearly points to an away win, although Fredericia may put up resistance on their home turf, which justifies some probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fredericia | AGF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AGF is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Fredericia · 2.4 pts / match - AGF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AGF is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Fredericia · 2 goals / match - AGF
AGF is 142% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.42 goals / match - Fredericia · 1 goals / match - AGF
Fredericia scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while AGF keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
AGF scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Fredericia keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fredericia
Over / Under - AGF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AGF is 166% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Fredericia · 2.37 pts / match - AGF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fredericia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AGF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 74% of matches and wins 68%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fredericia
AGF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Fredericia | Liga | AGF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.74 | 3.17 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 60% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 23% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fredericia 0 - 0 - 1 AGF. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fredericia vs AGF?
The Superliga match finished Fredericia 1:1 AGF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fredericia vs AGF?
Fredericia score 1.32 goals per game on average and AGF 2.00. The Superliga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Fredericia's matches and 68% of AGF's.
What form are Fredericia and AGF in?
Over the last 5 games Fredericia have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and AGF 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fredericia vs AGF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.