Fredericia vs København: match statistics
Fredericia vs København: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fredericia played København in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Fredericia: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. København: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fredericia scores 1.31 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. København scores 1.90 and concedes 1.41. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fredericia 62%, København 69%. Over 2.5: Fredericia 72%, København 69%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
København has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.34. Fredericia: 11.5 shots per match, København: 17.4.
Match halves
Fredericia: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.62. København: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Fredericia: 76-90+ (9 goals). København: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
København is the clear favorite: the visitors have won 5 of their last 5 matches and scored 18 goals, while Fredericia has not won any of their last 5 and has scored only 6 goals. In attack København averages 1.93 goals away with xG 1.68, whereas Fredericia at home averages 0.93 goals with xG 1.45; additionally the shot conversion rate is 13% versus the hosts’ 7%. Defensively Fredericia concedes an average of 2.07 goals at home with xG against 1.9, while København concedes 1.57 on the road with xG against 1.25, indicating the visitors’ advantage in limiting high-quality chances. Fredericia failed to score in 43% of home matches, and København were goalless in 14% of away games; over the last 5 matches they averaged 0.6 and 3.0 points per game respectively. Considering current form, superior effectiveness (18 goals vs 6) and better xG against (1.25 vs 1.9), I predict a win for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics strongly support BTTS - Yes: Fredericia has a seasonal BTTS of 60%, København 79%, with the league average at 60%, which favors both teams scoring. Both sides average close to 2 goals per game (Fredericia 1.87, København 1.93) and xG indicates hosts generate 2.17 xG versus 1.25 xG allowed by visitors, while København posts 1.68 xG against 1.12 xG allowed by Fredericia, suggesting an exchange of chances. In the last 5 matches København scored 18 goals (3.6 avg) and conceded 3 (0.6), whereas Fredericia have 6 scored and 9 conceded (1.2 and 1.8), so the visitors are in strong scoring form and the hosts, despite weaker form, still register goals. Additionally, København have only 7% clean sheets this season (vs 33% for Fredericia) and seasonal over2.5 is 79% for the visitors and 60% for the hosts, all of which increase the likelihood of BTTS. Based on this I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 75% vs 25% for No, because København’s high seasonal BTTS 79%, solid xG and both teams’ goals averages provide the strongest signal for both teams to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I project 1.71 goals for Fredericia (attacking xG 2.17 vs Copenhagen conceded xG 1.25) and 1.40 goals for Copenhagen (attacking xG 1.68 vs Fredericia conceded xG 1.12), totaling 3.11 expected goals. Historically both teams often exceed thresholds: Fredericia has Over 1.5 in 87% of matches, Copenhagen in 100%, and Over 2.5 occurred in 60% and 79% of their games respectively. Both sides frequently score — BTTS is 60% for Fredericia and 79% for Copenhagen, and in the last 5 matches Fredericia scored 6 goals (1.2 average) vs Copenhagen 18 goals (3.6 average). Fredericia averages 20 shots and 5.87 on target, Copenhagen 14.57 shots and 5.29 on target; the league average is 3.04 goals, while our model gives 3.11, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5), with Over 2.5 also looking likely (~70%), and Over 3.5 remaining less certain (~35%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select HT/FT 2/2 (København leading at the break and winning) because recent indicators favor the visitors: København have 5 wins in their last 5 matches (100%) and score an average of 3.6 goals in those five games versus 1.2 for the hosts. Additionally, in their last 5 matches the visitors led at the break in 60% of cases and scored an average of 2.0 second-half goals, while the seasonal average of away goals in the second half is 1.29. Fredericia at home have led at the break more often (47% at home) and generate more chances (on average 20.0 shots and xG 2.17 per game) than København (average 14.57 shots and xG 1.68), but the hosts’ conversion is weaker: 9% versus the visitors’ 13% efficiency, and Fredericia have not won any of their last 5 matches. Second-half statistics further support the visitors: the average goals in the second half in matches involving København is 2.29 and the visitors have 79% of games with more than 1.5 goals in the second half, increasing the likelihood of maintaining or extending a lead. Overall the model rates the 2/2 scenario highest (31% probability in this projection) and assigns about a 56% chance of an away win, therefore I recommend a 2/2 bet.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fredericia | København | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
København is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Fredericia · 3 pts / match - København
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
København is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Fredericia · 1.9 goals / match - København
København is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.14 goals / match - Fredericia · 1.41 goals / match - København
Fredericia scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while København keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
København scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Fredericia keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fredericia
Over / Under - København
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
København is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Fredericia · 1.45 pts / match - København
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fredericia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
København - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fredericia
København
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Fredericia | Liga | København | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.45 | 3.04 | ▲ 3.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 60% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 60% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Fredericia 1 - 0 - 2 København. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fredericia vs København?
The Superliga match finished Fredericia 3:3 København. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fredericia and København?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 1, København won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fredericia vs København?
Fredericia score 1.31 goals per game on average and København 1.90. The Superliga average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Fredericia's matches and 69% of København's.
What form are Fredericia and København in?
Over the last 5 games Fredericia have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and København 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fredericia vs København?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fredericia vs København: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.