Fredrikstad vs Start: match statistics
Fredrikstad vs Start: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fredrikstad played Start in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 29 May 2026. Venue: Nye Fredrikstad Stadion. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Fredrikstad: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Start: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fredrikstad scores 1.30 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Start scores 1.09 and concedes 2.36. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fredrikstad 80%, Start 73%. Over 2.5: Fredrikstad 70%, Start 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Fredrikstad has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.26. Fredrikstad: 11.7 shots per match, Start: 11.0.
Match halves
Fredrikstad: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Start: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Fredrikstad: 31-45+ (4 goals). Start: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I project a home win (1). Fredrikstad averages 1.75 goals per home match and records a 50% home win rate, averaging 13.25 shots per game (4.25 on target) with a 13% conversion rate, while Start on the road averages only 9.5 shots (3.67 on target) and an 11% conversion rate. The defensive discrepancy is significant: Start concedes 3.17 goals per away match and has an away goal difference of -13 with average xG against of 2.02, whereas Fredrikstad concedes 1.25 goals in home matches, has xG against of 1.74 and a +2 home goal difference. Despite similar recent point returns over the last 5 matches (both teams 0.8 points per game, 1-1-3 records), Start have conceded 16 goals in their last 5 games versus 9 conceded by Fredrikstad and have been shut out in 33% of away matches compared to 0% for the home side. Based on this, I estimate Fredrikstad win probability at 65%, draw 20%, and Start win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams give a strong signal for BTTS - Yes: Fredrikstad has 80% of matches with both teams scoring this season and 100% in the last 5 home games, while Start records 67% this season and 60% in the last 5 away. Start concedes an average of 3.17 goals away this season (3.2 in the last 5), so Fredrikstad has a realistic chance to score; conversely Start averages 1.0 goals away (1.4 in the last 5), and Fredrikstad concedes 1.4 at home (1.8 in the last 5), which favors away goals. xG confirms chance creation: Fredrikstad xG for 1.41 vs Start 1.14, with xG against 1.47 for Fredrikstad and as high as 2.02 for Start, meaning opportunities will come from both sides. Additionally Start has 0% clean sheets away and Fredrikstad only 20% at home, against a league BTTS rate of 54% — both teams significantly exceed the league average; therefore I prefer the "both teams to score" scenario and rate it at 80% vs 20% for no both scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% of matches this season with over 1.5 goals (Fredrikstad 100%, Start 100%), which is a very strong signal for Over 1.5. Fredrikstad scores on average 1.2 goals per game, Start 1.0, and based on xG: hosts (1.41) versus xG against Start (2.02) yield an expected ≈1.72 for Fredrikstad, while Start ≈1.31 ((1.14+1.47)/2), total ≈3.03. From the Poisson distribution, a total of 3.03 corresponds to roughly a 58% probability of Over 2.5 and about 36% for Over 3.5. Additionally, Start concedes on average 3.17 goals this season, and Fredrikstad’s matches feature both teams scoring in 80% of games (Start 67%), so the most justified and strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Start has major defensive issues — they concede an average of 3.17 goals per match this season compared to Fredrikstad’s 1.4 conceded at home, giving the hosts significant potential for a turnaround after the break. Fredrikstad create more high-quality chances: home xG is 1.41 versus Start’s 1.14 xG, and the hosts average 12.8 shots per match versus Start’s 9.5. Half-time statistics show Start’s away matches are often level at the break — this occurred in 50% of their away games — while Fredrikstad led at half-time in 40% of their home matches, so a HT draw (for example 1:1) is realistic. The second half is Start’s weakness: they concede an average of 2.17 goals after the break, and over 83% of their matches have more than 1.5 goals in the second half, which increases the probability of the hosts winning after 90 minutes. Considering seasonal PPG (1.2 for Fredrikstad at home vs 0.17 for Start away) and the figures above, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Fredrikstad win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fredrikstad | Start | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fredrikstad is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Fredrikstad · 1.09 goals / match - Start
Fredrikstad is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - Fredrikstad · 2.36 goals / match - Start
Fredrikstad scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Start keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
Start scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Fredrikstad keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fredrikstad
Over / Under - Start
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Start is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Fredrikstad · 1.09 pts / match - Start
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fredrikstad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Start - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fredrikstad
Start
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Fredrikstad | Liga | Start | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 54% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 80% | 82% | • 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Fredrikstad vs Start?
The Eliteserien match finished Fredrikstad 2:1 Start. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fredrikstad vs Start?
Fredrikstad score 1.30 goals per game on average and Start 1.09. The Eliteserien average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Fredrikstad's matches and 73% of Start's.
What form are Fredrikstad and Start in?
Over the last 5 games Fredrikstad have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Start 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fredrikstad vs Start?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.