Fredrikstad vs Tromsø: match statistics
Fredrikstad vs Tromsø: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fredrikstad played Tromsø in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Nye Fredrikstad Stadion. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Fredrikstad: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Tromsø: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fredrikstad scores 1.19 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Tromsø scores 1.90 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fredrikstad 62%, Tromsø 43%. Over 2.5: Fredrikstad 52%, Tromsø 52%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Tromsø has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.32. Fredrikstad: 11.4 shots per match, Tromsø: 13.5.
Match halves
Fredrikstad: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57. Tromsø: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.29.
Goals by minute
Fredrikstad: 16-30 (5 goals). Tromsø: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-3. Average goals 1.60, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fredrikstad have the home advantage: they have won 50% of their home matches, while Tromsø have lost 40% of their away games. Defensive performance could be decisive, with the hosts conceding an average of 1.1 goals at home compared with 2.0 for the visitors away. Tromsø remain a threat going forward, averaging 1.9 goals away from home against Fredrikstad’s 1.3 at home, but their away xG is 1.30, compared with 1.47 for the hosts. Both teams have scored 8 goals in their last five matches, but Fredrikstad have conceded 5 in that span, while Tromsø have conceded 10. This points to a slight advantage for the hosts, although the visitors’ 17% away shot-conversion rate means a Tromsø win cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Fredrikstad’s defence: at home, they keep a clean sheet in 64% of matches and concede an average of 0.82 goals. Tromsø score an average of 1.9 goals away from home, but their xG is 1.30, suggesting the visitors may struggle to maintain that scoring rate against this defence. A home goal looks more likely, as Fredrikstad score an average of 1.91 goals at home, while Tromsø concede 2.0 away. In their last five matches, both teams scored in 80% of Fredrikstad’s games and 60% of Tromsø’s, significantly increasing the risk to a BTTS - No pick. Despite this recent trend, the hosts’ frequent clean sheets give a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Fredrikstad average 1.91 goals at home, while Tromsø concede 2.00 per away match, giving the hosts a clear opportunity to score multiple goals. The average xG figures support this: 1.93 for Fredrikstad and 1.48 conceded by Tromsø. At least two goals have been scored in 82% and 80% of these teams’ matches, respectively, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick. Higher lines are less reliable: at least three goals were scored in 45% of Fredrikstad’s home matches and 60% of Tromsø’s away matches. In addition, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 64% of their home games, which limits the visitors’ scoring potential and advises caution on higher goal lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Fredrikstad leading at the break and winning at full time: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 45% of their matches, while Tromsø were trailing at that point in 40%. Fredrikstad score an average of 0.82 goals before the break and concede 0.36, compared with Tromsø’s 0.40 scored and 0.90 conceded, strengthening the hosts’ prospects of taking an early lead. Across the full match, the hosts won 64% of their games and conceded an average of 0.82 goals, compared with the visitors’ 40% loss rate and 2.00 goals conceded; their attacking edge is also reflected in the xG figures of 1.93 versus 1.30. A draw at half-time remains a notable alternative, as both teams drew at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, so X/1 receives the second-highest probability. Tromsø could pose a threat after the break, scoring an average of 1.50 goals, but Fredrikstad concede just 0.45 goals in second halves, which points to them holding on to any lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fredrikstad | Tromsø | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fredrikstad is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Fredrikstad · 0.8 pts / match - Tromsø
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tromsø is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Fredrikstad · 1.9 goals / match - Tromsø
Tromsø is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Fredrikstad · 1.38 goals / match - Tromsø
Fredrikstad scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Tromsø keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
Tromsø scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Fredrikstad keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fredrikstad
Over / Under - Tromsø
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tromsø is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Fredrikstad · 1.43 pts / match - Tromsø
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fredrikstad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tromsø - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fredrikstad
Tromsø
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Fredrikstad | Liga | Tromsø | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 3.15 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 58% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 23% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 81% | 85% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Fredrikstad 0 - 2 - 3 Tromsø. Average goals 1.60, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fredrikstad vs Tromsø?
The Eliteserien match finished Fredrikstad 1:1 Tromsø. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fredrikstad and Tromsø?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 0, Tromsø won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fredrikstad vs Tromsø?
Fredrikstad score 1.19 goals per game on average and Tromsø 1.90. The Eliteserien average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Fredrikstad's matches and 43% of Tromsø's.
What form are Fredrikstad and Tromsø in?
Over the last 5 games Fredrikstad have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tromsø 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fredrikstad vs Tromsø?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.