Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga: match statistics
Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fredrikstad played Vålerenga in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Fredrikstad: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match. Vålerenga: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fredrikstad scores 2.00 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Vålerenga scores 1.00 and concedes 0.33. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fredrikstad 67%, Vålerenga 0%. Over 2.5: Fredrikstad 100%, Vålerenga 0%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Vålerenga has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.28. Fredrikstad: 9.7 shots per match, Vålerenga: 12.7.
Match halves
Fredrikstad: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Vålerenga: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Fredrikstad: 31-45+ (2 goals). Vålerenga: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). Fredrikstad holds an offensive edge in the numbers: 10 goals scored in the last 5 matches versus Vålerenga’s 7, and a home goals average of 3.0 per match compared to visitors’ 2.0 on the road. The hosts average 14 shots and 7 on target per home game versus Vålerenga’s 10 shots and 6 on target, while average xG is 1.75 for Fredrikstad vs 1.24 for Vålerenga, indicating more high-quality chances for the hosts. The defense poses a risk — Fredrikstad conceded 11 goals in the last 5 fixtures and concedes on average 1.0 goal per home match, whereas Vålerenga’s data shows 0.0 goals conceded away and 100% clean sheets, which may limit the hosts’ advantage. Considering the higher volume of chances, superior xG and better recent form (Fredrikstad 3 wins in last 5 vs Vålerenga 2), I assign a 55% probability to a home win, 20% to a draw and 25% to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes (70% vs 30%) as the more likely outcome. In the last 5 matches Fredrikstad has BTTS at 80% (4/5), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.2 on average, while Vålerenga in the last 5 has BTTS 40% (2/5), scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. xG and shot metrics corroborate the risk of goals at both ends: season xG is 1.53 for Fredrikstad and 1.24 for Vålerenga, and in the last 5 matches xG is 1.3 vs 1.33 with xG against 1.49 vs 1.68; additionally Vålerenga averages 6.0 shots on target vs Fredrikstad's 3.5 and a conversion rate of 20% vs 4%. Counterarguments are seasonal anomalies — both teams have season BTTS of 0% and Vålerenga has seasonally 100% clean sheets with an average of 0.0 goals conceded, which increases the risk of a No Goal outcome for one side. However, given the fresher form indicators, higher xG against Fredrikstad (1.91 seasonally) and Vålerenga's high conversion, the Both Teams To Score scenario appears stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Considering xG, Fredrikstad has xG_for 1.53, Vålerenga 1.24; after accounting for opponents' xG_against I project 1.45 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.58 for Vålerenga, totaling 3.03 expected goals. This is above the league average of 2.95, and a Poisson model with λ=3.03 yields ~80% probability for Over 1.5, ~58% for Over 2.5 and ~36% for Over 3.5. Additionally, Vålerenga averages 6.0 shots on target with a 20.0% conversion rate, while Fredrikstad has 3.5 SoT and a 4.0% conversion, indicating greater clinical finishing from the visitors. In the last 5 matches Fredrikstad scored 2.0 and conceded 2.2 on average (10 scored/11 conceded) and had 100% of games Over 2.5, which amplifies the expectation of a higher-scoring match despite their seasonal discrepancy (seasonally Fredrikstad 0.5 goals/match). Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5) with an estimated probability of ~81%; the 2.5 line also favors Over (~58%) but with lower confidence.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Forecast: draw at half-time and away win (X/2). Data show the away side scores on average 2.0 goals after the break (AVG_2hg_away = 2.0) and has a 100% win rate in second halves (wins_2hg_percentage_away = 100.0), which strongly supports a decision after the break. At half-time the home team averages 0.5 goals (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.5) and the away team 0.0 (scoredAVGHT_away = 0.0), and the away team records 100% draws at the break (drawingAtHTPercentage_away = 100.0), so a half-time draw is most likely. Although the home xG is 1.53 versus 1.24 for the away side (xG_for_avg_home = 1.53 vs xG_for_avg_away = 1.24), the away team is far more efficient: shots on target 6.0 vs 3.5 and a conversion rate of 20.0% vs 4.0% (shotsOnTargetAVG_away = 6.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_home = 3.5, shot_conversion_rate_away = 20.0, shot_conversion_rate_home = 4.0), which favors their second-half victory. Additionally, the away team has a 100% season win rate (winPercentage_away = 100.0) versus 50.0% for the home team (winPercentage_home = 50.0), therefore the X/2 selection is the strongest signal from the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fredrikstad | Vålerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fredrikstad is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Fredrikstad · 1 goals / match - Vålerenga
Vålerenga is 606% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Fredrikstad · 0.33 goals / match - Vålerenga
Fredrikstad scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Vålerenga keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Vålerenga scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Fredrikstad keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fredrikstad
Over / Under - Vålerenga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fredrikstad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vålerenga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fredrikstad
Vålerenga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Fredrikstad | Liga | Vålerenga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.33 | 3.04 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 56% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fredrikstad 1 - 1 - 0 Vålerenga. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga?
The Eliteserien match finished Fredrikstad 1:1 Vålerenga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fredrikstad and Vålerenga?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 1, Vålerenga won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga?
Fredrikstad score 2.00 goals per game on average and Vålerenga 1.00. The Eliteserien average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Fredrikstad's matches and 0% of Vålerenga's.
What form are Fredrikstad and Vålerenga in?
Over the last 5 games Fredrikstad have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Vålerenga 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga?
The statistical background for Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.