Germany - BundesligaEuropa-Park StadionData current as of 21 October 2026

Freiburg vs Bayern München: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Freiburg vs Bayern München: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Freiburg play Bayern München in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Europa-Park Stadion.

Current form

Freiburg: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bayern München: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Freiburg scores 2.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Bayern München scores 3.67 and concedes 0.83. League average: 3.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Freiburg 67%, Bayern München 67%. Over 2.5: Freiburg 83%, Bayern München 83%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 74%.

xG, shots and style

Bayern München has higher xG: 2.95 vs 1.68. Freiburg: 16.2 shots per match, Bayern München: 24.3.

Match halves

Freiburg: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17. Bayern München: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.33.

Goals by minute

Freiburg: 16-30 (4 goals). Bayern München: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 3.69 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 74%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 6.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(8.80)
(6.65)
(1.33)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FreiburgBayern München
2.5Goals scored / match3.67
FreiburgBayern München
1Goals conceded / match0.83
FreiburgBayern München
53%Average possession69%
FreiburgBayern München
5.33Shots on target / match10.33
FreiburgBayern München

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.17Shots per match24.33
FreiburgBayern München
5.33Shots on target10.33
FreiburgBayern München
15.5%Shot conversion15.1%
FreiburgBayern München
53%Possession69%
FreiburgBayern München
1.68xG for2.95
FreiburgBayern München
1.03xG against0.87
FreiburgBayern München

Shooting quality

Freiburg: AttackingBayern München: Dominant
FreiburgBayern München
Accuracy (shots on target)33%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.470.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bayern München is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Freiburg · 2.2 pts / match - Bayern München

Freiburg
WWDWL
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Bayern München
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 away
1-2-0
DWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 3.06Opponent xG: 0.79BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bayern München is 47% better for: goals scored per match.

2.5 goals / match - Freiburg · 3.67 goals / match - Bayern München

Bayern München is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Freiburg · 0.83 goals / match - Bayern München

Freiburg scoring profile: very strong

Freiburg scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Bayern München scoring profile: very strong

Bayern München scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

15Goals scored (season)22
FreiburgBayern München
6Goals conceded (season)5
FreiburgBayern München
3.5Average goals in match4.5
FreiburgBayern München
11Goals scored (last 5)17
FreiburgBayern München
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
FreiburgBayern München

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
FreiburgBayern München
67%2 goals83%
FreiburgBayern München
33%3 goals50%
FreiburgBayern München
33%4 goals50%
FreiburgBayern München

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
FreiburgBayern München
33%2 goals17%
FreiburgBayern München
0%3 goals0%
FreiburgBayern München
0%4 goals0%
FreiburgBayern München

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
FreiburgBayern München
0%BTTS in both halves0%
FreiburgBayern München
67%Scored in both halves67%
FreiburgBayern München

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
FreiburgBayern München
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
FreiburgBayern München
60%BTTS - last 560%
FreiburgBayern München

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
FreiburgBayern München
83%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
FreiburgBayern München
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
FreiburgBayern München

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
FreiburgBayern München
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
FreiburgBayern München
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time67%
FreiburgBayern München

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bayern München is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.83 pts / match - Freiburg · 2.17 pts / match - Bayern München

Freiburg - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing
Bayern München - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.83Points per match (1st half)2.17
FreiburgBayern München
1.33Goals scored (1st half)1.33
FreiburgBayern München
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
FreiburgBayern München
2Average goals (1st half)1.5
FreiburgBayern München
50%Clean sheet before half-time83%
FreiburgBayern München
0%No goal before half-time33%
FreiburgBayern München

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per match (2nd half)2.33
FreiburgBayern München
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)2.33
FreiburgBayern München
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
FreiburgBayern München
1.5Average goals (2nd half)3
FreiburgBayern München
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
FreiburgBayern München
33%No goal after half-time17%
FreiburgBayern München

Freiburg - second-half results

67% W17% D17% L
11
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bayern München - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Freiburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Bayern München - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.20
Goals scored / match1.42.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+6+7
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Freiburg
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Bayern München
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
4
0
16-30
3
0
31-45
6
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Freiburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Bayern München

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+2.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
260%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
36%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

FreiburgLigaBayern München
Average goals in match▼ 3.503.69▲ 4.50
Both teams scored▲ 67%59%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%74%▲ 83%
Clean sheets▲ 33%24%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%83%• 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%87%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.69
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
2.28
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+62%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
67%
2 goals
44%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Freiburg 0 - 0 - 2 Bayern München. Average goals 6.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Freiburg and Bayern München play?

Freiburg face Bayern München on 25 October 2026 in Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Freiburg and Bayern München?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0, Bayern München won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Bayern München?

Freiburg score 2.50 goals per game on average and Bayern München 3.67. The Bundesliga average is 3.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Freiburg's matches and 67% of Bayern München's.

What form are Freiburg and Bayern München in?

Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bayern München 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Bayern München?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.