Freiburg vs Heidenheim: match statistics
Freiburg vs Heidenheim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Freiburg played Heidenheim in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Freiburg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Heidenheim: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Freiburg scores 1.45 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Heidenheim scores 1.10 and concedes 2.21. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Freiburg 59%, Heidenheim 62%. Over 2.5: Freiburg 62%, Heidenheim 69%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Freiburg has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.22. Freiburg: 12.6 shots per match, Heidenheim: 11.2.
Match halves
Freiburg: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.90. Heidenheim: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Freiburg: 76-90+ (10 goals). Heidenheim: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Freiburg has a clear advantage in attack and form — in the last 5 matches they scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) and recorded 4 wins, while their home goals per game (1.86) contrast with Heidenheim’s away rate of just 0.79. Defensively the hosts are superior as well: Freiburg concedes 1.36 goals on average at home with 1.31 xG against, whereas Heidenheim concedes 2.07 goals away with 1.73 xG against. The gap in chance quality is evident — Freiburg produces 1.63 xG at home and averages 5.36 shots on target per game, while Heidenheim posts 1.20 xG away and only 3.14 shots on target; additionally the visitors have 0% clean sheets on the road and fail to score in 43% of matches. The trend reinforces the home favoritism: Freiburg averages 2.4 points per game in the last 5 matches versus Heidenheim’s 1.0, and a home goal difference of +7 versus the visitors’ -18 on the road. Considering higher conversion efficiency (13% conversion rate for Freiburg vs 7% for Heidenheim), superior xG and recent form, I tip a Freiburg victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS is strong: Freiburg has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and Heidenheim 57%, against a league average of 59%, providing a base in favor of Goal/Goal. Neither side has a clean sheet (0.0%) and they concede on average 2.33 (Freiburg) and 2.07 (Heidenheim) goals per match this season, which significantly raises the likelihood the opponent will score. In the last 5 matches Heidenheim has BTTS 80% and concedes 2.2 goals on average, while Freiburg has BTTS 60% and scores 2.2 goals on average over that period, so current form supports goals from both sides despite Heidenheim’s away seasonal scoring being only 0.79. Seasonal xG are similar (1.25 for Freiburg vs 1.20 for Heidenheim) and Freiburg is more efficient with shots (conversion 12% vs 7% and 3.8 shots on target per game vs 3.14), which further increases the chance of goals for the home side and thus BTTS. Considering these figures (BTTS 67%/57%, clean sheets 0.0%, last 5 matches BTTS 60% and 80%), I project BTTS = Yes with a probability of 72% versus 28% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
From an xG perspective: Freiburg has xG_for 1.25 versus Heidenheim xG_against 1.73, yielding an implied forecast of about 1.49 goals for Freiburg; similarly Heidenheim has xG_for 1.20 against Freiburg xG_against 1.73, giving about 1.47. Recent form over the last 5 matches raises scoring expectations — Freiburg scores 2.2 goals on average, Heidenheim 2.0, and both teams have 80% of matches Over 2.5 in their last 5. Additionally, Freiburg has higher shot conversion (12% vs 7%) and more shots on target (3.8 vs 3.14), which justifies a slight xG adjustment in favor of the home side. After accounting for xG, form and efficiency I project 1.70 goals for Freiburg and 1.45 for Heidenheim (total 3.15), which strongly supports outcomes above 1.5 goals. The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (Freiburg at home has 100% of matches >1.5, Heidenheim away 79%), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line to play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Considering form and metrics, the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time with Freiburg winning after 90 minutes (X/1). Freiburg have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) versus Heidenheim’s 1 win in their last 5 (20%), and season-long average points indicate a home advantage (0.93 pts vs 0.36 pts for the visitors). I expect a draw at the break because Freiburg score an average of 0.53 goals by half-time versus Heidenheim’s 0.21, and in their last 5 matches Freiburg led at the break in 40% of games, with season half-time draw rates of 33% (home) vs 50% (away). Freiburg also generate higher quality chances: xG 1.25 vs 1.20, shot conversion 12% vs 7% and 3.8 shots on target per match vs 3.14 for the opponent, which increases the likelihood of a goal in the second half. Heidenheim win only 7% of away games and have poorer recent form in the last 5 (20% wins), so scenarios where the visitors lead at the break or secure a final victory are less probable.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Freiburg | Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Freiburg is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Freiburg · 1 pts / match - Heidenheim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Freiburg is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Freiburg · 1.1 goals / match - Heidenheim
Freiburg is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Freiburg · 2.21 goals / match - Heidenheim
Freiburg scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Heidenheim keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 29 matches).
Heidenheim scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Freiburg
Over / Under - Heidenheim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Freiburg is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Freiburg · 0.83 pts / match - Heidenheim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Heidenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Freiburg
Heidenheim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Freiburg | Liga | Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.07 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.31 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 62% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 76% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▲ 97% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Freiburg 0 - 0 - 1 Heidenheim. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Freiburg vs Heidenheim?
The Bundesliga match finished Freiburg 2:1 Heidenheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Heidenheim?
Freiburg score 1.45 goals per game on average and Heidenheim 1.10. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Freiburg's matches and 62% of Heidenheim's.
What form are Freiburg and Heidenheim in?
Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Heidenheim 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Heidenheim?
The statistical background for Freiburg vs Heidenheim — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.