Freiburg vs Köln: match statistics
Freiburg presents significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference of +6 at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match with only 13% of games without scoring, testifying to an effective offense. Köln, on the other hand, performs poorly on the road – only 22% wins, a negative goal difference of -5, and as many as 44% lost matches. Additionally, the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals per away match, and their xG Against (1.83) is significantly higher than xG For (1.33), indicating defensive problems. Given Freiburg's advantage in possession (57% vs 46%) and better shot conversion, the hosts have a real chance for triumph, although Köln's experience in drawing away games (33%) may make the match competitive.
Freiburg vs Köln: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Freiburg played Köln in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Freiburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Köln: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Freiburg scores 1.61 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Köln scores 1.50 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Freiburg 67%, Köln 72%. Over 2.5: Freiburg 67%, Köln 56%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Köln has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.43. Freiburg: 12.9 shots per match, Köln: 13.2.
Match halves
Freiburg: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.06. Köln: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Freiburg: 76-90+ (8 goals). Köln: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Freiburg presents significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference of +6 at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match with only 13% of games without scoring, testifying to an effective offense. Köln, on the other hand, performs poorly on the road – only 22% wins, a negative goal difference of -5, and as many as 44% lost matches. Additionally, the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals per away match, and their xG Against (1.83) is significantly higher than xG For (1.33), indicating defensive problems. Given Freiburg's advantage in possession (57% vs 46%) and better shot conversion, the hosts have a real chance for triumph, although Köln's experience in drawing away games (33%) may make the match competitive.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Freiburg | Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Freiburg is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Freiburg · 0.8 pts / match - Köln
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Freiburg is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - Freiburg · 1.5 goals / match - Köln
Freiburg scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Köln keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Köln scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Freiburg
Over / Under - Köln
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Freiburg is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Freiburg · 1 pts / match - Köln
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Köln - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Freiburg
Köln
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Freiburg | Liga | Köln | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.23 | • 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 82% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Freiburg 0 - 0 - 1 Köln. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Freiburg vs Köln?
The Bundesliga match finished Freiburg 2:1 Köln. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Köln?
Freiburg score 1.61 goals per game on average and Köln 1.50. The Bundesliga average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Freiburg's matches and 72% of Köln's.
What form are Freiburg and Köln in?
Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Köln 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Köln?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.