Freiburg vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Freiburg played Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 4:0.

Current form

Freiburg: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Mainz 05: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Freiburg scores 1.36 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Mainz 05 scores 1.00 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.21 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Freiburg 64%, Mainz 05 55%. Over 2.5: Freiburg 64%, Mainz 05 36%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Mainz 05 has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.25. Freiburg: 11.0 shots per match, Mainz 05: 12.3.

Match halves

Freiburg: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.82. Mainz 05: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55.

Goals by minute

Freiburg: 76-90+ (5 goals). Mainz 05: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

75Possession (%)25
FreiburgMainz 05
23Shots1
FreiburgMainz 05
10Shots on target1
FreiburgMainz 05
2.55xG0.2
FreiburgMainz 05
6Corners2
FreiburgMainz 05
55Dangerous attacks7
FreiburgMainz 05
9Fouls12
FreiburgMainz 05
0Cards4
FreiburgMainz 05

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.36Goals scored / match1
FreiburgMainz 05
1.82Goals conceded / match1.73
FreiburgMainz 05
48%Average possession49%
FreiburgMainz 05
3.36Shots on target / match2.82
FreiburgMainz 05

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match12.27
FreiburgMainz 05
3.36Shots on target2.82
FreiburgMainz 05
12.4%Shot conversion8.1%
FreiburgMainz 05
48%Possession49%
FreiburgMainz 05
1.25xG for1.41
FreiburgMainz 05
1.41xG against1.55
FreiburgMainz 05

Shooting quality

Freiburg: BalancedMainz 05: Balanced
FreiburgMainz 05
Accuracy (shots on target)31%23%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Freiburg is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Freiburg · 0.4 pts / match - Mainz 05

Freiburg
DLDWL
Season result split
27% W36% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-4
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Mainz 05
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
9% W27% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-7
0.55 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Freiburg is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Freiburg · 1 goals / match - Mainz 05

Mainz 05 is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.82 goals / match - Freiburg · 1.73 goals / match - Mainz 05

Freiburg scoring profile: very strong

Freiburg scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).

Mainz 05 scoring profile: strong

Mainz 05 scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).

15Goals scored (season)11
FreiburgMainz 05
20Goals conceded (season)19
FreiburgMainz 05
3.18Average goals in match2.73
FreiburgMainz 05
6Goals scored (last 5)6
FreiburgMainz 05
11Goals conceded (last 5)9
FreiburgMainz 05

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal55%
FreiburgMainz 05
45%2 goals18%
FreiburgMainz 05
18%3 goals18%
FreiburgMainz 05
0%4 goals9%
FreiburgMainz 05

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal100%
FreiburgMainz 05
45%2 goals36%
FreiburgMainz 05
27%3 goals18%
FreiburgMainz 05
18%4 goals18%
FreiburgMainz 05

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time18%
FreiburgMainz 05
0%BTTS in both halves9%
FreiburgMainz 05
27%Scored in both halves18%
FreiburgMainz 05

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
FreiburgMainz 05
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
FreiburgMainz 05
60%BTTS - last 580%
FreiburgMainz 05

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
FreiburgMainz 05
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
FreiburgMainz 05
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
FreiburgMainz 05

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
FreiburgMainz 05
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
FreiburgMainz 05
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
FreiburgMainz 05

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Freiburg is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / match - Freiburg · 0.82 pts / match - Mainz 05

Freiburg - half-time state
18% leading36% draw45% trailing
Mainz 05 - half-time state
18% leading27% draw55% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per match (1st half)0.82
FreiburgMainz 05
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.45
FreiburgMainz 05
1Goals conceded (1st half)1
FreiburgMainz 05
1.55Average goals (1st half)1.45
FreiburgMainz 05
36%Clean sheet before half-time36%
FreiburgMainz 05
55%No goal before half-time64%
FreiburgMainz 05

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)1.27
FreiburgMainz 05
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
FreiburgMainz 05
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
FreiburgMainz 05
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.27
FreiburgMainz 05
64%Clean sheet after half-time36%
FreiburgMainz 05
45%No goal after half-time64%
FreiburgMainz 05

Freiburg - second-half results

36% W36% D27% L
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mainz 05 - second-half results

36% W18% D45% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Freiburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Mainz 05 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Freiburg
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
6
31-45
3
5
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Mainz 05
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.96
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Freiburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Mainz 05

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

FreiburgLigaMainz 05
Average goals in match 3.183.21 2.73
Both teams scored 64%57% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%63% 36%
Clean sheets 27%24% 0%
Goal before half-time 82%79% 82%
Goal after half-time 73%81% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.72
Home goals / match
1.49
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FreiburgGoalLukas KüblerAssist: Philipp Lienhart
  2. FreiburgGoalVincenzo GrifoAssist: Lucas Höler
  3. Mainz 05Red cardPaul Nebel
  4. FreiburgGoalJohan ManzambiAssist: Yuito Suzuki
  5. Mainz 05Yellow cardSota Kawasaki
  6. Mainz 05SubstitutionOn: Lennard MaloneyOff: Arnaud Nordin
  7. Mainz 05Yellow cardStefan Bell
  8. FreiburgSubstitutionOn: Christian GünterOff: Lukas Kübler
  9. FreiburgSubstitutionOn: Igor MatanovicOff: Yuito Suzuki
  10. Mainz 05SubstitutionOn: William Bøving WickOff: Jae-Sung Lee
  11. FreiburgSubstitutionOn: Max RosenfelderOff: Philipp Treu

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Daniel SchlagerMatches officiated: 14
4.43Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins28%Draws21%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Freiburg vs Mainz 05?

The Bundesliga match finished Freiburg 4:0 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Freiburg vs Mainz 05?

Freiburg score 1.36 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 1.00. The Bundesliga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Freiburg's matches and 55% of Mainz 05's.

What form are Freiburg and Mainz 05 in?

Over the last 5 games Freiburg have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mainz 05 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Freiburg vs Mainz 05?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Freiburg vs Mainz 05: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.